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Belmont vs. Toledo prediction: Why Belmont is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [11/26/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Belmont vs Toledo predictions for college basketball Wednesday.
Toledo and Belmont are scheduled to meet in men's college basketball action at Alico Arena on Wednesday, starting at 1:30PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Belmont as the most likely winner of the Belmont vs. Toledo game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Belmont vs. Toledo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Belmont and Toledo 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Belmont a 64% chance of defeating Toledo. Our predicted final score has Belmont winning 81-77.
According to our model, Toledo (+5.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 162.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.
Belmont vs. Toledo odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Belmont | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -5.5 (-105) | +5.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | -218 | +210 |
| Total | o162.5 (-110) | u162.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Belmont vs. Toledo picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Toledo +5.5 | -114 |
| Moneyline | Toledo | +210 |
| Total | Under 162.5 | -108 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toledo to win.
Belmont vs. Toledo game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Toledo and Belmont at Alico Arena is scheduled to start at 1:30PM ET.
- Who: Belmont vs. Toledo
- Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
- Time: 1:30PM ET/10:30AM PT
- Venue: Alico Arena
Conclusion
We predict Belmont, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Toledo on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Belmont vs. Toledo insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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