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Red Sox vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Game 1 of 2025 Wild Card Series

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get MLB Wild Card predictions for MLB Tuesday.

Boston Red Sox-New York Yankees Wild Card Predictions and Game Preview.
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees MLB prediction for Tuesday, September 30, 2025.

MLB action continues on Tuesday at 6:08PM ET as the Boston Red Sox take on the New York Yankees in Game 1 of their Wild Card Series at Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees will have Cy Young chance Max Fried (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, up against fellow hopeful Garrett Crochet (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Red Sox.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model projects the Yankees as the most likely winner of today's game.

For further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Red Sox vs. Yankees predictions page.

Yankees vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win, cover the run line?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Red Sox and Yankees 10,000 times as part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 54% chance of defeating the Red Sox.

According to our model, the Red Sox (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 6.5 runs has a 66% chance of going over.

 

Red Sox vs. Yankees odds [Wild Card Series Game 1]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Red Sox Yankees
Run Line +1.5 (-198) -1.5 (+165)
Moneyline +122 -140
Total o6.5 (-120) u6.5 (+100)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Red Sox vs. Yankees picks and best bets

Our model's strongest edge in today's Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup is on the run line.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best MLB picks and MLB best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Red Sox vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details

Tuesday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Red Sox at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 6:08PM ET.

Dimers' comprehensive preview of Tuesday's Red Sox vs. Yankees matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Red Sox vs. Yankees picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

We predict the Yankees, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Red Sox on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Red Sox vs. Yankees insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on MLB

Stay up-to-date with the latest MLB betting news and MLB parlay picks throughout the season. Plus, our World Series odds offer the latest probabilities for the World Series, American League, National League and each division.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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