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Read Article Essendon Bombers vs. Carlton Blues prediction: Why Blues are favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 13 matchup [6/7/2026]
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Essendon Bombers vs Carlton Blues predictions for AFL Sunday.
AFL action continues on Sunday at 5:20 AM ET as the favored Carlton Blues take on the Essendon Bombers at Melbourne Cricket Ground.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven AFL model predicts the Blues as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Bombers game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bombers vs. Blues prediction: Who will win Round 13 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's AFL game between the Blues and Bombers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Blues an 81.9% chance of defeating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Blues (-18.5) have a 58.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 50.4% chance of staying under.
Carlton vs. Essendon odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Bombers |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -345 | +255 |
| Line (Spread) | -18.5 (-115) | +18.5 (-115) |
| Total | o170.5 (-115) | u170.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Bombers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Blues -18.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Blues | -345 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blues -18.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bombers vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football matchup between the Bombers and Blues at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to commence at 5:20 AM ET.
- Who: Carlton Blues vs. Essendon Bombers
- Date: Sunday, June 7, 2026
- Time: 5:20 AM ET/2:20AM PT
- Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with an 81.9% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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