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CBB Moneyline upset picks for DraftKings $2 Million "King of the Dogs" first round jackpot
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Reviewed by Nick Slade
Pick the biggest underdog to win in Thursday's CBB tournament games and win your share of $2M in bonus bets on DraftKings
Move over "King of the Court." It's peak CBB betting season with the college basketball tournament tipping off on Thursday, March 19 and DraftKings Sportsbook is getting things started with their $2 Million bonus bet jackpot for their King of the 'Dogs promo.
The premise is simple: correctly pick the lowest-seeded team from all of Thursday's games to advance to the second round and win your share of $2M in bonus bets.
How to Play “King of the 'Dogs” Today
1. Opt-In to the Promotion - Log in to your DraftKings Sportsbook account and opt in to receive your single-use King of the 'Dogs qualifying bet token.
2. Place a Qualifying $5 Bet - Use your token on any pre-match moneyline bet for Thursday's NCAA college basketball tournament games.
3. Watch and Win - If the team you picked is the lowest seed to advance among teams that day, you’ll earn an equal share of $2,000,000 in Bonus Bets. If multiple teams tie for the lowest seed, all customers who bet on those teams will split the prize pool. Bonus Bets are credited within 24 hours and expire seven days after issuance.
CBB Upset Picks Today, Thursday, March 19
Picking the biggest underdog is no easy task - the unexpected happens all the time when the CBB action heats up in March.
But we can give ourselves a statistical advantage if we use Dimers' CBB predictions to help us narrow down which teams have mathematically the best chance to flip the script each day of the college basketball tournament.
Below you can find every single team seeded at double digits that plays on Thursday, alongside the Dimers model's probability for each team to win. Unless the tournament goes completely chalk or the lowest seed to win in the first round is a 9-seed vs. an 8-seed, there will likely be at least one team in the double digits to wear the "King of the 'Dogs" crown today.
To find updated probabilities for each team, open up the Dimers App and head to our CBB Game Predictions, where you'll find detailed betting insights for every single matchup.
To quickly find the top team in each tier, teams in bold represent the highest win probability for teams at that seed number, where applicable.
| Team & Seed | Dimers Win Probability | Opponent | DraftKings ML Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| #16 Siena | 1% | #1 Duke | +3500 |
| #16 Howard | 1% | #1 Michigan | +3500 |
| #15 Idaho | 2% | #2 Houston | +2200 |
| #14 North Dakota State | 5% | #3 Michigan State | +1000 |
| #14 Kennesaw State | 3% | #3 Gonzaga | +1600 |
| #14 Pennsylvania | 2% | #3 Illinois | +2200 |
| #13 Hawaii | 10% | #4 Arkansas | +850 |
| #13 Troy | 10% | #4 Nebraska | +650 |
| #12 McNeese State | 14% | #5 Vanderbilt | +500 |
| #12 High Point | 18% | #5 Wisconsin | +380 |
| #11 South Florida | 35% | #6 Louisville | +164 |
| #11 VCU | 45% | #6 North Carolina | +130 |
| #11 Texas | 39% | #6 BYU | +114 |
| #10 Texas A&M | 28% | #7 Saint Mary's | +136 |
Dimers' CBB betting resources for the 2026 CBB Tournament
- CBB Game Predictions: Our data-backed previews for every game in every round
- CBB Best Bets: Our Top Picks for every game.
- March Madness Odds: Who will win it all?
- Best CBB Props: Player edges and projections from our predictive analytics model
Responsible gambling
Remember to please gamble responsibly. If you sense that you're taking your luck too far, know when to call it quits and don't be afraid to seek assistance. Keep in mind that gambling is all about having a fantastic experience! If you or someone you know is grappling with gambling issues, reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER for crisis counseling and support.
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Nick Slade through our fact-checking process.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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