Bengals vs. Steelers prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win in NFL Week 11, 2025

The Pittsburgh Steelers will face the Cincinnati Bengals in NFL Week 11 action at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 1:00PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NFL model projects the Steelers as the most likely winner of the Bengals vs. Steelers game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Bengals vs. Steelers prediction: Who will win and cover?

Since our Bengals-Steelers predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Bengals and Steelers 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Steelers a 67% chance of beating the Bengals in Week 11 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Steelers winning 26-21.

According to our model, the Bengals (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 48 points has a 51% chance of going over.

To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 11 straight up picks.

Bengals vs. Steelers odds

We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bengals	Steelers
Spread	+5.5 (-105)	-5.5 (-105)
Moneyline	+205	-250
Total	o48 (-110)	u48 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bengals vs. Steelers picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Bengals +5.5	-105
Moneyline	Bengals	+205
Total	Over 48	-110

According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bengals +5.5 at the spread.

Bengals vs. Steelers TD scorers

Who will score a touchdown in Bengals vs. Steelers?

According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for today, Jaylen Warren is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Bengals vs. Steelers.

Our projections give Warren a 50.4% chance of scoring a TD at Acrisure Stadium, while the running back is a 12.4% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	45.2%
Chase Brown (RB)	42.5%
Tee Higgins (WR)	39.1%
Noah Fant (TE)	19.2%
Andrei Iosivas (WR)	15.5%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	Anytime TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	50.4%
DK Metcalf (WR)	39.6%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	26.5%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	26.4%
Calvin Austin (WR)	25.3%

First touchdown scorer predictions

Cincinnati Bengals

Player	First TD Probability
Ja'Marr Chase (WR)	9.9%
Chase Brown (RB)	9.1%
Tee Higgins (WR)	8.1%
Noah Fant (TE)	3.5%
Andrei Iosivas (WR)	2.8%

Pittsburgh Steelers

Player	First TD Probability
Jaylen Warren (RB)	12.4%
DK Metcalf (WR)	8.9%
Jonnu Smith (TE)	5.5%
Kenneth Gainwell (RB)	5.4%
Calvin Austin (WR)	5.2%

Bengals vs Steelers player props

Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Bengals and Steelers. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 11 games.

Quarterbacks

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Bengals' Joe Flacco is projected to have a big game with 261 passing yards. The Steelers' Aaron Rodgers is expected to throw for 235 yards.

Player	Proj. Pass Yards
Joe Flacco (CIN)	261
Aaron Rodgers (PIT)	235

Bengals rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Chase Brown	67
Tahj Brooks	12
Ja'Marr Chase	5

Steelers rushing

Player	Proj. Rush Yards
Jaylen Warren	85
Kenneth Gainwell	26
Kaleb Johnson	6

Bengals receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
Ja'Marr Chase	95
Tee Higgins	61
Andrei Iosivas	30
Noah Fant	27
Chase Brown	26

Steelers receiving

Player	Proj. Rec. Yards
DK Metcalf	57
Calvin Austin	39
Pat Freiermuth	30
Jonnu Smith	28
Darnell Washington	21

Bengals vs. Steelers game-day updates and essential details

The NFL Week 11 game between the Steelers and Bengals at Acrisure Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:00PM ET.

• Who: Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
• Date: Sunday, November 16, 2025
• Time: 1:00PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: Acrisure Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Steelers, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Bengals in Week 11 of the NFL season.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Bengals vs. Steelers insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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