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Read Article Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard prediction, odds, picks for ATP Libema Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Medvedev vs Boogaard predictions for ATP Libema Open.
Daniil Medvedev will take on Thijs Boogaard in the round of 16 at the ATP S-Hertogenbosch event on Thursday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Daniil Medvedev as the most likely winner of the Medvedev vs. Boogaard match.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's match, including best bets and picks.
Medvedev vs. Boogaard prediction: Who will win and advance to the quarterfinals?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's Medvedev-Boogaard men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Medvedev an 89% chance of winning against Boogaard at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additionally, Medvedev has an 84% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Boogaard (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 19.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Medvedev | Boogaard |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -1250 | +780 |
| First Set | -714 | +450 |
| Game Spread | -5.5 (-108) | +5.5 (-124) |
| Total Games | o19.5 (-118) | u19.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Medvedev vs. Boogaard picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Boogaard | +780 |
| First Set | Boogaard | -112 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thijs Boogaard to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Medvedev vs. Boogaard updates and essential details
The ATP Libema Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Thijs Boogaard is scheduled to commence on Thursday at 10:15 AM ET.
- Who: Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Approx. Time: 10:15 AM ET/7:15AM PT
- Tournament: ATP S-Hertogenbosch, Netherlands Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 16
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Daniil Medvedev, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat Thijs Boogaard at the ATP Libema Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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