New Zealand vs. Egypt prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get New Zealand vs Egypt predictions for World Cup 2026 Sunday.

World Cup 2026 action continues on Sunday at 9:00 PM ET as Egypt locks horns with New Zealand in Group G at BC Place.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model predicts Egypt as the most likely winner of the New Zealand vs. Egypt game.
Part of our comprehensive World Cup coverage, this article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
New Zealand vs. Egypt prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model indicates a 16.3% chance of New Zealand winning, a 58.9% chance for Egypt, and a 24.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 59.4% chance of staying under, with a 59.5% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Egypt holds a 39.4% probability to win without conceding, with New Zealand given a 10.2% chance.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Egypt to win or draw at 83.7%.
Egypt vs. New Zealand odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| New Zealand | Egypt | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +500 | -170 | +310 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +106 | -130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
New Zealand vs. Egypt picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Egypt @ +310 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -130 via BetMGM
- Win to Nil: New Zealand @ +725 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: New Zealand or Draw @ +135 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -135 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Egypt win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| New Zealand 0-1 Egypt | 15.9% |
| New Zealand 0-2 Egypt | 12.8% |
| New Zealand 1-1 Egypt | 11.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 40.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 59.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.
New Zealand vs. Egypt player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Sunday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in New Zealand-Egypt:
New Zealand
- Chris Wood: 17.5% probability
- Elijah Just: 10.5% probability
- Callum McCowatt: 8.2% probability
- Sarpreet Singh: 7.9% probability
- Liberato Cacace: 4.6% probability
Egypt
- Mohamed Salah: 31.7% probability
- Omar Marmoush: 28.5% probability
- Mostafa Ziko: 24.5% probability
- Emam Ashour: 15.1% probability
- Hamdy Fathy: 7.0% probability
New Zealand vs. Egypt game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's FIFA World Cup action between New Zealand and Egypt at BC Place is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: New Zealand vs. Egypt
- Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: BC Place
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, New Zealand has a 16.3% win probability on Sunday, Egypt has a 58.9% win probability, and there is a 24.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



