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Read Article GWS Giants vs. Essendon Bombers prediction: Giants favored to win Saturday's AFL Round 9 matchup [5/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get GWS Giants vs Essendon Bombers predictions for AFL Saturday.
The GWS Giants and Essendon Bombers are scheduled to meet in the Australian Football League (AFL) at Giants Stadium on Saturday, starting at 2:15 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Giants as the most likely winner of the Bombers vs. Giants game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Giants vs. Bombers prediction: Who will win Round 9 game?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Bombers and Giants, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Giants an 89% chance of beating the Bombers.
According to our model, the Bombers (+42.5) have a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 192.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of staying under.
Essendon vs. GWS odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Bombers | Giants |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +600 | -1111 |
| Line (Spread) | +42.5 (-115) | -42.5 (-115) |
| Total | o192.5 (-115) | u192.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Bombers vs. Giants picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bombers +42.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Giants | -1111 |
| Total | Under 192.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Bombers +42.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Giants vs. Bombers game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Giants and Bombers at Giants Stadium is scheduled to commence at 2:15 AM ET.
- Who: Essendon Bombers vs. GWS Giants
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Time: 2:15 AM ET/11:15PM PT
- Venue: Giants Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Giants, with an 89% win probability, will likely beat the Bombers in Saturday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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