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Florida vs. UConn prediction: Why Connecticut is favored to win men's college basketball matchup [12/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Florida vs UConn predictions for college basketball Tuesday.
UConn will face Florida in men's college basketball action at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday, commencing at 9:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Connecticut as the most likely winner of the Florida vs. UConn game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.
Florida vs. UConn prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NCAA basketball matchup between Florida and UConn 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives Connecticut a 70% chance of defeating Florida. Our predicted final score has Connecticut winning 75-69.
According to our model, Connecticut (-4.5) has a 55% chance of covering the spread, while the 145.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Florida vs. UConn odds
We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Florida | UConn |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +170 | -200 |
| Total | o145.5 (-110) | u145.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Florida vs. UConn picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Connecticut -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Connecticut | -200 |
| Total | Under 145.5 | -105 |
According to our men's college basketball best bets, the top play to make on this game is Connecticut -4.5 at the spread.
Florida vs. UConn game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's men's college basketball matchup between UConn and Florida at Madison Square Garden is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Florida vs. Connecticut
- Date: Tuesday, December 9, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Madison Square Garden
Conclusion
We predict Connecticut, with a 70% win probability, will likely beat Florida on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Florida vs. Connecticut insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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