Colombia vs. Ghana prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Round of 32]
Get Colombia vs Ghana predictions for World Cup 2026 Friday.

World Cup 2026 action continues on Friday at 9:30 PM ET as Ghana locks horns with Colombia in the round of 32 at Arrowhead Stadium.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven World Cup 2026 model projects Colombia as the most likely winner of the Colombia vs. Ghana game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Colombia vs. Ghana prediction: Who will win and advance to the Round of 16?
Our independent predictive model indicates a 67.7% chance of Colombia winning, an 11.3% chance for Ghana, and a 20.9% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54.7% chance of staying under, with a 61.3% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Colombia holds a 46.0% probability to win without conceding, with Ghana at 7.0%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Colombia to win or draw at 88.7%.
Keep in mind that soccer markets are settled at the end of 90 minutes. Unlike NBA betting where overtime counts, extra time won't factor into these odds unless explicitly noted.
Ghana vs. Colombia odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Colombia | Ghana | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -230 | +800 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +104 | -125 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Colombia vs. Ghana picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Ghana @ +800 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Under 2.5 @ -125 via DraftKings
- Win to Nil: Colombia @ +105 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Ghana or Draw @ +185 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -160 via DraftKings
According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Ghana to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Ghana's odds provide the best value right now.
Colombia vs. Ghana: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Colombia win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Colombia 1-0 Ghana | 15.6% |
| Colombia 2-0 Ghana | 14.6% |
| Colombia 1-1 Ghana | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 38.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 61.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Colombia vs. Ghana player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Colombia-Ghana:
Colombia
- Luis Suarez: 28.4% probability
- Luis Diaz: 27.4% probability
- James Rodriguez: 20.6% probability
- Jhon Arias: 17.0% probability
- Gustavo Puerta: 13.1% probability
Ghana
- Jordan Ayew: 11.4% probability
- Antoine Semenyo: 11.0% probability
- Kamaldeen Sulemana: 7.1% probability
- Thomas Partey: 6.6% probability
- Kwasi Sibo: 3.2% probability
Colombia vs. Ghana game-day updates and essential details
Friday's soccer World Cup game between Colombia and Ghana at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to start at 9:30 PM ET.
- Who: Colombia vs. Ghana
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 9:30 PM ET/6:30PM PT
- Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Colombia has a 67.7% win probability on Friday, Ghana has an 11.3% win probability, and there is a 20.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



