France vs. Iraq prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's World Cup 2026 matchup between France and Iraq, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates an 87.7% chance of France winning, a 3.3% chance for Iraq, and an 8.9% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 3.5 goals has a 52.3% chance of staying under, with a 63.3% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, France holds a 58.6% probability to win without conceding, with Iraq at 1.8%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is France to win or draw at 96.7%.

Iraq vs. France odds

We have sourced the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

France	Iraq	Draw
-1100	+3300	+1200

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
-120	+102

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

France vs. Iraq picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Iraq @ +1200 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Under 3.5 @ +102 via FanDuel
• Win to Nil: Iraq @ +2800 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Iraq or Draw @ +850 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +165 via BetMGM

According to our World Cup 2026 best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 3.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

France vs. Iraq: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 3-0 France win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
France 3-0 Iraq	13.8%
France 2-0 Iraq	13.4%
France 4-0 Iraq	10.6%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 36.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 63.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.

France vs. Iraq player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Monday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in France-Iraq:

France

• Kylian Mbappe: 59.6% probability
• Ousmane Dembele: 37.0% probability
• Michael Olise: 35.3% probability
• Bradley Barcola: 30.4% probability
• Adrien Rabiot: 16.9% probability

Iraq

• Aymen Hussein: 11.1% probability
• Ali Hamadi: 9.3% probability
• Ibrahim Bayesh: 5.6% probability
• Ahmed Qasem: 5.6% probability
• Zidane Iqbal: 3.8% probability

France vs. Iraq game-day updates and essential details

Monday's soccer World Cup action between France and Iraq at Lincoln Financial Field is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.

• Who: France vs. Iraq
• Date: Monday, June 22, 2026
• Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
• Venue: Lincoln Financial Field

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, France has an 87.7% win probability on Monday, Iraq has a 3.3% win probability, and there is an 8.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.