Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars updated prediction featuring Kareem Hunt, Travis Etienne [Week 5, 2025]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Jacksonville Jaguars and Kansas City Chiefs in Week 5, with our model giving the Chiefs a 61% of winning against the Jaguars on Monday.

This update builds on our early Jaguars-Chiefs predictions, presenting refreshed win probabilities, score projections, and TD predictions for Kareem Hunt, Travis Etienne, and more.

For the most accurate simulation-based insights—including spread and total picks, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Chiefs vs. Jaguars page.

What's changed? Kansas City vs. Jacksonville updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Chiefs vs. Jaguars matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasted:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Chiefs 61%, Jaguars 39%
• Predicted Final Score: Chiefs 24-21 Jaguars
• Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) 44%, Jaguars (+3.5) 56%
• Total Points (46.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of October 2, 2025, these Chiefs-Jaguars numbers reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 5 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Chiefs-Jaguars on Monday:

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kareem Hunt: 37.3% probability
• Xavier Worthy: 34.9% probability
• Travis Kelce: 28.5% probability

Jacksonville Jaguars

• Travis Etienne: 36.7% probability
• Brian Thomas: 31.6% probability
• Travis Hunter: 26.9% probability

Chiefs vs. Jaguars latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Chiefs -3.5 (-105), Jaguars +3.5 (-112)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -175, Jaguars +150
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-102/-110)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Chiefs vs. Jaguars Week 5 details

The NFL Week 5 game between the Jaguars and Chiefs at EverBank Stadium is scheduled for October 6, 2025.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
• Date: Monday, October 6, 2025
• Time: 8:15PM ET/5:15PM PT
• Venue: EverBank Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Jaguars in Week 5 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Chiefs vs. Jaguars matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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