Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders updated prediction featuring Kareem Hunt, Ashton Jeanty [Week 18, 2026]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs in Week 18, with our model giving the Chiefs a 72% of winning.

As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. Some lineup calls are still undecided, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC West matchup.

Since our early Raiders-Chiefs predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for Kareem Hunt, Ashton Jeanty, and others.

For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Chiefs vs. Raiders page.

What's changed? Kansas City vs. Las Vegas updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Chiefs vs. Raiders matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Chiefs 72%, Raiders 28%
• Predicted Final Score: Chiefs 20-15 Raiders
• Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) 46%, Raiders (+5.5) 54%
• Total Points (36.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of January 1, 2026, these Chiefs-Raiders numbers reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 18 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Chiefs-Raiders on Sunday:

Kansas City Chiefs

• Kareem Hunt: 35.1% probability
• JuJu Smith-Schuster: 20.7% probability
• Hollywood Brown: 20.6% probability

Las Vegas Raiders

• Ashton Jeanty: 40.9% probability
• Tre Tucker: 26.4% probability
• Tyler Lockett: 21.0% probability

Chiefs vs. Raiders latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Chiefs -5.5 (-110), Raiders +5.5 (-105)
• Moneyline: Chiefs -250, Raiders +225
• Total: Over/Under 36.5 (-110/-105)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 18 details

The NFL Week 18 matchup between the Raiders and Chiefs at Allegiant Stadium is scheduled for January 4, 2026.

• Who: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Allegiant Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Chiefs, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Raiders in Week 18 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Chiefs vs. Raiders game, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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