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NFL Week 6: Best Player Prop Bet for Lions vs. Chiefs in Prime Time
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Reviewed by Dave Garofolo
Amon-Ra St. Brown has exceeded this number in in 6 of his last 7 appearances, making him the target of our Prime Time Prop Bet this week.
The Detroit Lions travel to GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs in what is expected to be a high-scoring thriller, with the Chiefs favored by a narrow 28-25 margin. We are looking to end a brief two-game dry spell - after hitting three straight winners with Jahmyr Gibbs, Kyler Murray, and Jordan Love - and we are highly confident that Lions superstar wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown is the key to getting back in the win column tonight by betting his Over 69.5 Receiving Yards prop.
The foundation of this Prime Time Prop Bet lies in the combined evidence from our core tools: the Dimers NFL Trends, NFL Player Projections, and NFL Predictions.
Week 6 NFL Prime Time Prop Bet (Lions at Chiefs)
Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Firstly, the Dimers NFL Trends page highlights St. Brown's elite, game-breaking consistency. He has recorded more than 69.5 receiving yards in 6 of his last 7 appearances. This high hit rate signals a remarkably high floor for the wide receiver, who has established himself as one of the most reliable pass-catchers in the league.
Secondly, the Dimers NFL Player Projections page validates this historical trend with a strong forecast for the Chiefs matchup. St. Brown is projected to finish with 75.9 Receiving Yards. This projection provides a comfortable buffer of over 6 yards above the 69.5-yard prop line, confirming the numerical edge required for a best bet recommendation. His projection is also tied to an expected 6.5 Receptions, a high volume that fuels this Over bet.
Amon-Ra St. Brown is this week's Prime Time Prop Bet.
Looking at his recent 2025 performances, St. Brown has been phenomenal, clearing this total in four of his five games this season:
- Week 2 vs. Bears: 115 Receiving Yards
- Week 3 at Ravens: 77 Receiving Yards
- Week 4 vs. Browns: 70 Receiving Yards
- Week 5 at Bengals: 100 Receiving Yards
In a game with a high predicted total (53 points) where the Lions are expected to trail slightly, quarterback Jared Goff will be forced to throw frequently.
This ensures Amon-Ra St. Brown sees the necessary volume to clear this conservative line, especially since the Chiefs' defense is often susceptible to short-to-intermediate routes, which is St. Brown's area of dominance.
Combining his overwhelming historical trend, a favorable projection, and an explosive game environment, the Amon-Ra St. Brown Over 69.5 Receiving Yards (-111) is the clear best bet to make for Sunday Night Football. We're locking this in to secure our fourth Prime Time Prop win!
To give you the most accurate and helpful information, this article has been reviewed and edited by Dave Garofolo through our fact-checking process.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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