Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots: Experts release early Wild Card Game projections [2026]

The Los Angeles Chargers and New England Patriots will meet in Wild Card Weekend action at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, January 11, 2026, starting at 8:00 PM ET.

Initial simulations from Dimers' trusted NFL model favor the Patriots as the most likely winner of this AFC showdown.

For updates all week long, including best bets, player prop projections and touchdown probabilities, check out our interactive Chargers vs. Patriots predictions page.

LA Chargers vs. New England early predictions

Leveraging trusted machine learning and analysis, we have simulated the Chargers vs. Patriots game 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage. Here are the latest insights:

• Straight up win probabilities: Chargers 37%, Patriots 63%
• Predicted final score: Chargers 21-25 Patriots
• Spread: Chargers (+3.5) 50%, Patriots (-3.5) 50%
• Total points (46.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of January 5, 2026, these Chargers-Patriots calculations and predictions reflect the latest data and insights available.

Chargers vs. Patriots Wild Card Game details

The game between the Patriots and Chargers at Gillette Stadium is scheduled for January 11, 2026.

• Who: Los Angeles Chargers vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

Chargers vs. Patriots opening odds

We've researched the best betting odds across America for this Wild Card game, which are listed here:

• Spread: Chargers +3.5 (-105), Patriots -3.5 (-108)
• Moneyline: Chargers +170, Patriots -192
• Total: Over/Under 46.5 (-104/-112)

Odds may continue to move—track live changes via our NFL odds page.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

Early NFL player projections for Wild Card Weekend highlight the top candidates to score a TD in Chargers-Patriots in Week 19:

Los Angeles Chargers

• Omarion Hampton: 50.9% probability
• Quentin Johnston: 34.9% probability
• Ladd McConkey: 33.7% probability

New England Patriots

• TreVeyon Henderson: 47.7% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 44.4% probability
• Hunter Henry: 33.1% probability

Chargers vs Patriots player props

Omarion Hampton is projected to lead rushing for the Chargers, while TreVeyon Henderson is expected to pace the Patriots on the ground.

In the receiving game, our projections favor the LA Chargers' Ladd McConkey and New England's Stefon Diggs as the likely leaders for each team.

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Chargers in this NFL postseason matchup. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Chargers vs. Patriots matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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