Western Bulldogs vs. Melbourne Demons prediction: Bulldogs favored to win Sunday's AFL Round 11 matchup [5/24/2026]
Get Western Bulldogs vs Melbourne Demons predictions for AFL Sunday.

The Western Bulldogs will square off with the Melbourne Demons in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Sunday, starting at 1:15 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven AFL model projects the Bulldogs as the most likely winner of the Demons vs. Bulldogs game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Bulldogs vs. Demons prediction: Who will win Round 11 game?
Our famous predictive model gives the Bulldogs a 51% chance of defeating the Demons.
According to our model, the Bulldogs (+4.5) have a 59% chance of covering the spread, while the 192.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of staying under.
Melbourne vs. Bulldogs odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Demons | Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -145 | +115 |
| Line (Spread) | -4.5 (-115) | +4.5 (-115) |
| Total | o192.5 (-115) | u192.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Demons vs. Bulldogs picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Bulldogs +4.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Bulldogs | +115 |
| Total | Under 192.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Bulldogs +4.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Bulldogs vs. Demons game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Australian rules football action between the Bulldogs and Demons at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 1:15 AM ET.
- Who: Melbourne Demons vs. Western Bulldogs
- Date: Sunday, May 24, 2026
- Time: 1:15 AM ET/10:15PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Bulldogs, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Demons in Sunday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



