Men's college basketball picks today: Friday's best bets include East Tennessee State vs. Austin Peay play [12/12/2025]

Austin Peay +3.5 (-106)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: East Tennessee State vs. Austin Peay (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model has identified value on Austin Peay +3.5 at -106 odds. A 55.8% probability produces an edge of 4.3%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Connecticut -13.5 (-105)

• Edge: 2.0%
• Probability: 53.2%
• Matchup: Texas vs. Connecticut (8:00PM ET, Friday)

Connecticut -13.5 carries a 2.0% edge and a probability of 53.2% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Murray State +5.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Murray State vs. Akron (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 7.2% edge and 57.7% probability make Murray State +5.5 vs. Akron at a value play in the Murray State vs. Akron matchup, per our model.

Oklahoma -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 7.2%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma (1:00PM ET, Saturday)

Oklahoma -2.5 at -105 odds presents a 7.2% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

New Mexico State ML (+195)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 40.7%
• Matchup: New Mexico State vs. Tulsa (3:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on New Mexico State to win at +195 odds, supported by an edge of 6.8%.

Robert Morris +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Robert Morris (1:00PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on Robert Morris +1.5 at -105 odds. A 57.7% probability produces a 6.5% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Cal State Fullerton +4.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Cal State Fullerton vs. Denver (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.0% edge on a 55.5% probability makes Cal State Fullerton +4.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's Cal State Fullerton vs. Denver matchup.

Wright State +3.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Wright State vs. Marshall (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Wright State +3.5 at -102 odds. A 55.5% probability produces a 5.0% edge, making Wright State the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

UC Santa Barbara +4.5 (-102)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 55.5%
• Matchup: Toledo vs. Robert Morris (2:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, UC Santa Barbara +4.5 at -102 odds shows a 55.5% probability and a 5.0% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Friday, 12/12/2025

As of 7:31PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
East Tennessee State vs. Austin Peay	Austin Peay +3.5	-106 @ FanDuel	4.3%	55.8%
Texas vs. Connecticut	Connecticut -13.5	-105 @ BetMGM	2.0%	53.2%
Murray State vs. Akron	Murray State +5.5	-102 @ FanDuel	7.2%	57.7%
Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma	Oklahoma -2.5	-105 @ FanDuel	7.2%	58.4%
New Mexico State vs. Tulsa	New Mexico State ML	+195 @ FanDuel	6.8%	40.7%
Toledo vs. Robert Morris	Robert Morris +1.5	-105 @ DraftKings	6.5%	57.7%
Cal State Fullerton vs. Denver	Cal State Fullerton +4.5	-102 @ BetMGM	5.0%	55.5%
Wright State vs. Marshall	Wright State +3.5	-102 @ FanDuel	5.0%	55.5%
UC Santa Barbara vs. Utah Valley	UC Santa Barbara +4.5	-102 @ DraftKings	5.0%	55.5%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Texas vs. Connecticut (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• East Tennessee State vs. Austin Peay (8:00PM ET, Friday)
• California Baptist vs. Eastern Washington (9:00PM ET, Friday)
• Arkansas vs. Texas Tech (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Michigan State vs. Penn State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Massachusetts vs. Florida State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Albany vs. Florida Atlantic (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• DePaul vs. Wichita State (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Louisiana-Monroe vs. Miami (FL) (12:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Central Michigan vs. Stony Brook (12:00PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 12, 2025, featuring plays such as Austin Peay +3.5 and Connecticut -13.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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