Men's college basketball picks today: Presidents' Day best bets include Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M play [2/16/2026]

Prairie View A&M +2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has identified value on Prairie View A&M +2.5 at -105 odds. A 55.6% probability produces an edge of 4.4%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Norfolk State vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5 carries a 4.3% edge and a probability of 54.8% at -102 odds, according to our model.

Drexel +3.5 (-108)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Drexel vs. Stony Brook (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Drexel +3.5 vs. Stony Brook at -108 odds shows a 3.9% edge, supported by a 55.8% probability in simulations.

Houston vs. Iowa State over 136.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 56%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)

A 3.6% edge and 56% probability make Houston vs. Iowa State over 136.5 points at a value play in the Houston vs. Iowa State matchup, per our model.

Syracuse vs. Duke over 145.5 points (-110)

• Edge: 3.5%
• Probability: 55.9%
• Matchup: Syracuse vs. Duke (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Syracuse vs. Duke over 145.5 points at -110 odds presents a 3.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.9%.

Marshall ML (-235)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 73.6%
• Matchup: South Alabama vs. Marshall (7:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model finds value on Marshall to win at -235 odds, supported by an edge of 3.4%.

Iowa State -2.5 (-110)

• Edge: 3.2%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model has uncovered value on Iowa State -2.5 at -110 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 3.2% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Morgan State +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 55.2%
• Matchup: Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central (7:00PM ET, Monday)

A 2.8% edge on a 55.2% probability makes Morgan State +5.5 at -110 odds a solid value play in today's Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central matchup.

Iowa State ML (-150)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 62.8%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (9:00PM ET, Monday)

Our model projects value on Iowa State to win at -150 odds. A 62.8% probability produces a 2.8% edge, making Iowa State the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC over 135.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.6%
• Probability: 53.9%
• Matchup: Houston vs. Iowa State (8:00PM ET, Monday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC over 135.5 points at -105 odds shows a 53.9% probability and a 2.6% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Monday, 2/16/2026

As of 5:33PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M	Prairie View A&M +2.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.4%	55.6%
Norfolk State vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore	Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5	-102 @ DraftKings	4.3%	54.8%
Drexel vs. Stony Brook	Drexel +3.5	-108 @ FanDuel	3.9%	55.8%
Houston vs. Iowa State	Over 136.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	3.6%	56%
Syracuse vs. Duke	Over 145.5 Points	-110 @ BetMGM	3.5%	55.9%
South Alabama vs. Marshall	Marshall ML	-235 @ BetMGM	3.4%	73.6%
Houston vs. Iowa State	Iowa State -2.5	-110 @ FanDuel	3.2%	55.6%
Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central	Morgan State +5.5	-110 @ BetMGM	2.8%	55.2%
Houston vs. Iowa State	Iowa State ML	-150 @ BetMGM	2.8%	62.8%
Stephen F. Austin vs. Texas A&M-CC	Over 135.5 Points	-105 @ BetMGM	2.6%	53.9%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Colgate vs. Boston University (6:00PM ET, Monday)
• Syracuse vs. Duke (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Grambling State vs. Prairie View A&M (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Morgan State vs. North Carolina Central (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Mississippi Valley State vs. Alabama State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Bethune-Cookman vs. Jackson State (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• South Alabama vs. Marshall (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Norfolk State vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Wagner vs. LIU (7:00PM ET, Monday)
• Lamar vs. Texas Rio Grande Valley (7:30PM ET, Monday)

Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant

See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 16, 2026, featuring plays such as Prairie View A&M +2.5 and Maryland-Eastern Shore +1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

Note: Clicking links to our sportsbook partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.