Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include Northern Colorado vs. Idaho State play [2/7/2026]

Idaho State +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Northern Colorado vs. Idaho State (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Idaho State +1.5 at -105 odds. A 57.7% probability produces an edge of 6.5%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Mount St. Mary's +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Mount St. Mary's vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Mount St. Mary's +4.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 58.4% at -110 odds, according to our model.

Pacific ML (-350)

• Edge: 5.1%
• Probability: 81.1%
• Matchup: Pacific vs. Pepperdine (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Pacific ML at -350 odds shows a 5.1% edge, supported by a 81.1% probability in simulations.

Sacramento State +3.5 (-104)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Portland State vs. Sacramento State (10:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 4.8% edge and 55.8% probability make Sacramento State +3.5 vs. Portland State at a value play in the Portland State vs. Sacramento State matchup, per our model.

Texas Southern +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Matchup: Texas Southern vs. Florida A&M (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Texas Southern +1.5 at -105 odds presents a 4.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.8%.

Houston vs. BYU over 149.5 points (-108)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 56.4%
• Matchup: Houston vs. BYU (10:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on over 149.5 points in Houston vs. BYU at -108 odds, supported by an edge of 4.5%.

Creighton -2.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Seton Hall vs. Creighton (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has uncovered value on Creighton -2.5 at -105 odds. A 55.6% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.5 (-102)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 54.8%
• Matchup: Alcorn State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff (6:30PM ET, Saturday)

A 4.3% edge on a 54.8% probability makes Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.5 at -102 odds a solid value play in today's Alcorn State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff matchup.

Kentucky ML (-110)

• Edge: 4.2%
• Probability: 56.6%
• Matchup: Tennessee vs. Kentucky (8:30PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on Kentucky to win at -110 odds. A 56.6% probability produces a 4.2% edge, making Kentucky the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Massachusetts-Lowell +3.5 (-110)

• Edge: 4.1%
• Probability: 56.5%
• Matchup: Seton Hall vs. Creighton (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Massachusetts-Lowell +3.5 at -110 odds shows a 56.5% probability and a 4.1% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 2/7/2026

As of 5:36PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Northern Colorado vs. Idaho State	Idaho State +1.5	-105 @ BetMGM	6.5%	57.7%
Mount St. Mary's vs. Iona	Mount St. Mary's +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Pacific vs. Pepperdine	Pacific ML	-350 @ BetMGM	5.1%	81.1%
Portland State vs. Sacramento State	Sacramento State +3.5	-104 @ FanDuel	4.8%	55.8%
Texas Southern vs. Florida A&M	Texas Southern +1.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.5%	55.8%
Houston vs. BYU	Over 149.5 Points	-108 @ DraftKings	4.5%	56.4%
Seton Hall vs. Creighton	Creighton -2.5	-105 @ DraftKings	4.4%	55.6%
Alcorn State vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff	Arkansas-Pine Bluff -7.5	-102 @ BetMGM	4.3%	54.8%
Tennessee vs. Kentucky	Kentucky ML	-110 @ BetMGM	4.2%	56.6%
Massachusetts-Lowell vs. Albany	Massachusetts-Lowell +3.5	-110 @ BetMGM	4.1%	56.5%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Seton Hall vs. Creighton (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Georgia vs. LSU (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Gonzaga vs. Oregon State (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Santa Clara vs. Washington State (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Akron vs. Troy (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• South Dakota vs. South Dakota State (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Idaho vs. Montana (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Jackson State vs. Mississippi Valley State (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Mercer vs. Samford (6:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Texas Rio Grande Valley vs. New Orleans (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

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Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for February 7, 2026, featuring plays such as Idaho State +1.5 and Mount St. Mary's +4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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