Men's college basketball picks today: Saturday's best bets include Illinois vs. Tennessee play [12/6/2025]

Tennessee -2.5 (-102)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Illinois vs. Tennessee (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model has identified value on Tennessee -2.5 at -102 odds. A 58.4% probability produces an edge of 7.9%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Tennessee ML (-135)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 60.2%
• Matchup: Illinois vs. Tennessee (8:00PM ET, Saturday)

Tennessee ML carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 60.2% at -135 odds, according to our model.

Lamar ML (-170)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 71.6%
• Matchup: Texas A&M-CC vs. Lamar (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Lamar ML at -170 odds shows a 6.5% edge, supported by a 71.6% probability in simulations.

Tulane +6.5 (-105)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Akron vs. Tulane (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 6.5% edge and 57.7% probability make Tulane +6.5 vs. Akron at a value play in the Akron vs. Tulane matchup, per our model.

Abilene Christian +3.5 (-108)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: New Mexico State vs. Abilene Christian (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Abilene Christian +3.5 at -108 odds presents a 6.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 58.4%.

Washington +4.5 (-110)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 58.4%
• Matchup: Washington vs. USC (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model finds value on Washington +4.5 at -110 odds, supported by an edge of 6.1%.

Idaho State -6.5 (-115)

• Edge: 6.1%
• Probability: 59.5%
• Matchup: Denver vs. Idaho State (6:00PM ET, Saturday) Our model has uncovered value on Idaho State -6.5 at -115 odds. A 59.5% probability produces a 6.1% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

William & Mary vs. George Washington under 172.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: William & Mary vs. George Washington (6:00PM ET, Saturday)

A 5.7% edge on a 57% probability makes under 172.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's William & Mary vs. George Washington matchup.

New Hampshire +5.5 (-110)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 58%
• Matchup: Boston University vs. New Hampshire (7:00PM ET, Saturday)

Our model projects value on New Hampshire +5.5 at -110 odds. A 58% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making New Hampshire the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.

Arkansas-Little Rock +9.5 (-106)

• Edge: 5.6%
• Probability: 57%
• Matchup: Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock (9:00PM ET, Saturday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Arkansas-Little Rock +9.5 at -106 odds shows a 57% probability and a 5.6% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Saturday, 12/6/2025

As of 2:32PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Illinois vs. Tennessee	Tennessee -2.5	-102 @ DraftKings	7.9%	58.4%
Illinois vs. Tennessee	Tennessee ML	-135 @ BetMGM	6.7%	60.2%
Texas A&M-CC vs. Lamar	Lamar ML	-170 @ DraftKings	6.5%	71.6%
Akron vs. Tulane	Tulane +6.5	-105 @ FanDuel	6.5%	57.7%
New Mexico State vs. Abilene Christian	Abilene Christian +3.5	-108 @ DraftKings	6.5%	58.4%
Washington vs. USC	Washington +4.5	-110 @ BetMGM	6.1%	58.4%
Denver vs. Idaho State	Idaho State -6.5	-115 @ BetMGM	6.1%	59.5%
William & Mary vs. George Washington	Under 172.5 Points	-105 @ DraftKings	5.7%	57%
Boston University vs. New Hampshire	New Hampshire +5.5	-110 @ FanDuel	5.7%	58%
Arkansas State vs. Arkansas-Little Rock	Arkansas-Little Rock +9.5	-106 @ FanDuel	5.6%	57%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Toledo vs. Oakland (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Bellarmine vs. Murray State (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Idaho vs. South Dakota State (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Missouri State vs. Tulsa (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• George Mason vs. Virginia Tech (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Georgia State vs. Kennesaw State (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Maryland vs. Iowa (4:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Seton Hall vs. Kansas State (4:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Rutgers vs. Michigan (4:00PM ET, Saturday)
• Fresno State vs. Arkansas (4:00PM ET, Saturday)

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 6, 2025, featuring plays such as Tennessee -2.5 and Tennessee ML. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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