Men's college basketball picks today: Thursday's best bets include Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge play [12/4/2025]

Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 (-106)

• Edge: 9.3%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Our model has identified value on Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 at -106 odds. A 60.7% probability produces an edge of 9.3%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.

Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points carries a 5.5% edge and a probability of 56.7% at -105 odds, according to our model.

Cal State Bakersfield ML (+198)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 32.2%
• Matchup: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Cal State Bakersfield ML at +198 odds shows a 3.3% edge, supported by a 32.2% probability in simulations.

South Alabama +5.5 (-112)

• Edge: 7.9%
• Probability: 60.7%
• Matchup: South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State (7:00PM ET, Friday)

A 7.9% edge and 60.7% probability make South Alabama +5.5 vs. East Tennessee State at a value play in the South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State matchup, per our model.

Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 5.5%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Matchup: Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton under 177.5 points at -105 odds presents a 5.5% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 56.7%.

Quinnipiac +1.5 (-105)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 55.6%
• Matchup: Quinnipiac vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model finds value on Quinnipiac +1.5 at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 4.4%.

Marist ML (-455)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 85.5%
• Matchup: Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist (7:00PM ET, Friday) Our model has uncovered value on Marist ML at -455 odds. An 85.5% probability produces a 3.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.

Cal State Bakersfield ML (+198)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 32.2%
• Matchup: Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)

A 3.3% edge on a 32.2% probability makes Cal State Bakersfield to win at +198 odds a solid value play in today's Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge matchup.

Manhattan ML (+100)

• Edge: 3.0%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Matchup: Fairfield vs. Manhattan (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Our model projects value on Manhattan to win at +100 odds. A 46.6% probability produces a 3.0% edge, making Manhattan the favorable ML play in Saturday’s matchup.

Cincinnati vs. Xavier over 146.5 points (-105)

• Edge: 2.8%
• Probability: 54%
• Matchup: Cincinnati vs. Xavier (7:30PM ET, Friday)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Cincinnati vs. Xavier over 146.5 points at -105 odds shows a 54% probability and a 2.8% edge.

NCAAM best bets summary: Thursday, 12/4/2025

As of 9:32PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Edge	Probability
Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge	Cal State Bakersfield +5.5	-106 @ FanDuel	9.3%	60.7%
Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton	Under 177.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.5%	56.7%
Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge	Cal State Bakersfield ML	+198 @ FanDuel	3.3%	32.2%
South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State	South Alabama +5.5	-112 @ DraftKings	7.9%	60.7%
Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton	Under 177.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	5.5%	56.7%
Quinnipiac vs. Iona	Quinnipiac +1.5	-105 @ BetMGM	4.4%	55.6%
Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist	Marist ML	-455 @ DraftKings	3.9%	85.5%
Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge	Cal State Bakersfield ML	+198 @ FanDuel	3.3%	32.2%
Fairfield vs. Manhattan	Manhattan ML	+100 @ BetMGM	3.0%	46.6%
Cincinnati vs. Xavier	Over 146.5 Points	-105 @ FanDuel	2.8%	54%

List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now

• Cal State Bakersfield vs. Cal State Northridge (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• UC Riverside vs. UC Irvine (10:00PM ET, Thursday)
• UC Davis vs. Hawaii (12:00AM ET, Friday)
• Niagara vs. Siena (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Mount St. Mary's vs. Marist (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Quinnipiac vs. Iona (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• South Alabama vs. East Tennessee State (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Gonzaga vs. Kentucky (7:00PM ET, Friday)
• Canisius vs. St. Peter's (7:00PM ET, Friday)

Conclusion

Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 4, 2025, featuring plays such as Cal State Bakersfield +5.5 and under 177.5 points in the Cal Poly vs. Cal State Fullerton matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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