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Men's college basketball picks today: Tuesday's best bets include Florida vs. Connecticut play [12/9/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get college basketball picks and best bets for Tuesday, December 9, 2025.
Today’s men's college basketball picks for December 09, 2025 are here, with Florida vs. Connecticut among the top plays identified by our model across Tuesday’s men's college basketball slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest men's college basketball odds to uncover top betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of NCAAM picks tonight [12/9, updated 8:32PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 men's college basketball bets, ranked by edge for Tuesday, December 9, 2025.
Connecticut ML (-190)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Matchup: Florida vs. Connecticut (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
Our model has identified value on Connecticut to defeat Florida at -190 odds. A 70.5% probability produces an edge of 4.5%, making this the strongest play for today's men's college basketball slate.
Connecticut -4.5 (-105)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Florida vs. Connecticut (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
Connecticut -4.5 carries a 4.3% edge and a probability of 55.5% at -105 odds, according to our model.
USC vs. San Diego over 158.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: USC vs. San Diego (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
USC vs. San Diego over 158.5 points at -105 odds shows a 3.6% edge, supported by a 54.8% probability in simulations.
Connecticut ML (-190)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 70.5%
- Matchup: Florida vs. Connecticut (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
A 4.5% edge and 70.5% probability make Connecticut at the moneyline at a value play in the Florida vs. Connecticut matchup, per our model.
Connecticut -4.5 (-105)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Matchup: Florida vs. Connecticut (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
Connecticut -4.5 at -105 odds presents a 4.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.5%.
Merrimack +3.5 (-118)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 58.4%
- Matchup: Merrimack vs. Princeton (5:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Our model finds value on Merrimack +3.5 at -118 odds, supported by an edge of 4.3%.
Fordham -13.5 (-105)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 55%
- Matchup: Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Fordham (7:00PM ET, Wednesday) Our model has uncovered value on Fordham -13.5 at -105 odds. A 55% probability produces a 3.8% edge, making this a strong play for today's men's college basketball action.
USC vs. San Diego under 158.5 points (-105)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: USC vs. San Diego (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
A 3.6% edge on a 54.8% probability makes under 158.5 points at -105 odds a solid value play in today's USC vs. San Diego matchup.
St. Bonaventure -11.5 (-110)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Matchup: Colgate vs. St. Bonaventure (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Our model projects value on St. Bonaventure -11.5 at -110 odds. A 55.9% probability produces a 3.5% edge, making St. Bonaventure the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Eastern Michigan +3.5 (-110)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Eastern Michigan vs. Purdue Fort Wayne (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Eastern Michigan +3.5 at -110 odds shows a 55.8% probability and a 3.4% edge.
NCAAM best bets summary: Tuesday, 12/9/2025
As of 8:32PM ET, here are our top men's college basketball bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida vs. Connecticut | Connecticut ML | -190 @ BetMGM | 4.5% | 70.5% |
| Florida vs. Connecticut | Connecticut -4.5 | -105 @ BetMGM | 4.3% | 55.5% |
| USC vs. San Diego | Over 158.5 Points | -105 @ BetMGM | 3.6% | 54.8% |
| Florida vs. Connecticut | Connecticut ML | -190 @ BetMGM | 4.5% | 70.5% |
| Florida vs. Connecticut | Connecticut -4.5 | -105 @ BetMGM | 4.3% | 55.5% |
| Merrimack vs. Princeton | Merrimack +3.5 | -118 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 58.4% |
| Fairleigh Dickinson vs. Fordham | Fordham -13.5 | -105 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 55% |
| USC vs. San Diego | Under 158.5 Points | -105 @ BetMGM | 3.6% | 54.8% |
| Colgate vs. St. Bonaventure | St. Bonaventure -11.5 | -110 @ DraftKings | 3.5% | 55.9% |
| Eastern Michigan vs. Purdue Fort Wayne | Eastern Michigan +3.5 | -110 @ BetMGM | 3.4% | 55.8% |
List of upcoming men's college basketball games to bet on now
- Florida vs. Connecticut (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Northern Arizona vs. Arizona State (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Dartmouth vs. Colorado State (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- USC vs. San Diego (9:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Long Beach State vs. San Jose State (10:00PM ET, Tuesday)
- Norfolk State vs. Baylor (12:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Albany vs. Yale (4:30PM ET, Wednesday)
- Merrimack vs. Princeton (5:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Miami (OH) vs. UNC Asheville (6:00PM ET, Wednesday)
- Idaho vs. Notre Dame (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
Conclusion
Our men's college basketball best bets are locked and loaded for December 9, 2025, featuring plays such as Connecticut ML and Connecticut -4.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate college basketball insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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