Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots updated prediction featuring De'Von Achane, TreVeyon Henderson [Week 18, 2026]

Dimers' latest NFL predictions are live for New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins in Week 18, with our model giving the Patriots an 82% of winning.

As Sunday approaches, both teams have updated their injury reports. A few lineup decisions are still up in the air, and those could shape how each side approaches this AFC East clash.

Since our early Patriots-Dolphins predictions, we’ve updated the win probabilities, score projections, and TD odds for De'Von Achane, TreVeyon Henderson, and others.

For the full simulation breakdown—including spreads, totals, touchdown probabilities, and the full list of player props—head to our Dolphins vs. Patriots page.

What's changed? Miami vs. New England updated predictions

Our NFL predictions model has been re-run with the newest available data, creating a clearer picture of how this Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup stacks up. Here are the updated forecasts:

• Straight Up Win Probabilities: Dolphins 18%, Patriots 82%
• Predicted Final Score: Dolphins 17-27 Patriots
• Spread: Dolphins (+10.5) 54%, Patriots (-10.5) 46%
• Total Points (45.5): Over 50%, Under 50%

As of January 1, 2026, these Dolphins-Patriots calculations reflect changes since our early-week simulation.

Anytime touchdown scorer predictions

New NFL player projections for Week 18 highlight the top candidates to find the end zone in Dolphins-Patriots on Sunday:

Miami Dolphins

• De'Von Achane: 52.7% probability
• Jaylen Waddle: 26.4% probability
• Darren Waller: 20.6% probability

New England Patriots

• TreVeyon Henderson: 41.6% probability
• Rhamondre Stevenson: 37.6% probability
• Stefon Diggs: 30.3% probability

Dolphins vs. Patriots latest odds

The best current odds from the top sportsbooks in the US:

• Spread: Dolphins +10.5 (-105), Patriots -10.5 (-110)
• Moneyline: Dolphins +480, Patriots -625
• Total: Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-108)

Odds are correct at time of publication and are subject to change—track live updates via our NFL odds page.

Dolphins vs. Patriots Week 18 details

The NFL Week 18 action between the Patriots and Dolphins at Gillette Stadium is scheduled for January 4, 2026.

• Who: Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots
• Date: Sunday, January 4, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Gillette Stadium

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Conclusion

We predict the Patriots, with an 82% win probability, will likely beat the Dolphins in Week 18 of the NFL season. Dimers.com will provide full game coverage closer to kickoff, so stay tuned for updates.

Enhanced by AI and automation, this article delivers quick, accurate insights on the Dolphins vs. Patriots matchup, with human oversight maintaining high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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