Jun 17, 2026
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Read Article Marlins vs. Phillies prediction: Why Philadelphia is favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies predictions for MLB Wednesday.
The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins will meet in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday, starting at 1:05 PM ET.
Andrew Painter (1-7, 6.43 ERA) will get the ball for the Phillies, while the Marlins will counter with Sandy Alcantara (6-4, 4.25 ERA).
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Phillies a slight edge with a 53.0% win probability over the Marlins.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Marlins vs. Phillies matchup, including best bets and picks.
Marlins vs. Phillies prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's MLB game between the Marlins and Phillies, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Phillies a 53.0% chance of defeating the Marlins.
According to our model, the over/under total of nine runs has a 54.0% chance of going over,.
Marlins vs. Phillies odds [6/17/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Marlins | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100 | -114 |
| Total | o9 (-114) | u9 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Marlins vs. Phillies picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Phillies | -114 |
| Total | Over 9 | -114 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Marlins vs. Phillies game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's MLB action between the Phillies and Marlins at Citizens Bank Park is scheduled to begin at 1:05 PM ET.
- Who: Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies
- Date: Wednesday, June 17, 2026
- Time: 1:05 PM ET/10:05AM PT
- Venue: Citizens Bank Park
Conclusion
We predict the Phillies, with a 53.0% win probability, will likely beat the Marlins in Wednesday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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