Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee prediction: Why Tennessee is favored to win men's March Madness First Round matchup [3/20/2026]

Men's college basketball action continues on Friday at 4:25 PM ET as Miami (OH) squares off with Tennessee in First Round action at Xfinity Mobile Arena.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model predicts Tennessee as the most likely winner of the Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee game.

This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee prediction: Who will win and advance to the Second Round?

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's NCAAM Tournament matchup between Miami (OH) and Tennessee 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives Tennessee an 87% chance of defeating Miami (OH). Our predicted final score has Tennessee winning 81-68.

According to our model, Tennessee (-12.5) has a 56% chance of covering the spread, while the 149.5-point over/under has a 51% chance of going over.

Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Miami (OH)	Tennessee
Spread	+12.5 (-115)	-12.5 (-102)
Moneyline	+460	-550
Total	o149.5 (-102)	u149.5 (-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Tennessee -12.5	-102
Moneyline	Tennessee	-550
Total	Over 149.5	-102

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Tennessee -12.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee game-day updates and essential details

Friday's men's college basketball matchup between Tennessee and Miami (OH) at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 4:25 PM ET.

• Who: Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee
• Date: Friday, March 20, 2026
• Time: 4:25 PM ET/1:25PM PT
• Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
• March Madness stage: First Round

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Conclusion

We predict Tennessee, with an 87% win probability, will likely beat Miami (OH) this men's March Madness First Round matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Miami (OH) vs. Tennessee insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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