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Brewers vs. Marlins prediction: Why Miami is favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins predictions for MLB Friday.
The Miami Marlins will face the Milwaukee Brewers, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at loanDepot park on Friday, beginning at 7:10 PM ET.
Janson Junk (0-2, 4.32 ERA) will get the ball for the Marlins, up against Coleman Crow (0-0, 0.00 ERA) for the Brewers.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Marlins a slight edge with a 51% win probability over the Brewers.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Brewers vs. Marlins matchup, including best bets and picks.
Brewers vs. Marlins prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Friday's MLB game between the Brewers and Marlins, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Marlins a 51% chance of beating the Brewers.
According to our model, the 8-run over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Brewers vs. Marlins odds [4/17/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Brewers | Marlins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 | -110 |
| Total | o8 (-110) | u8 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brewers vs. Marlins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marlins | -110 |
| Total | Over 8 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brewers vs. Marlins game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB matchup between the Marlins and Brewers at loanDepot park is scheduled to start at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: loanDepot park
Conclusion
We predict the Marlins, with a 51% win probability, will likely beat the Brewers in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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