Jul 9, 2026
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Read Article Brewers vs. Cardinals prediction: Milwaukee favored to win Thursday's MLB matchup [7/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis Cardinals predictions for MLB Thursday.
MLB action continues on Thursday at 7:45 PM ET as the Milwaukee Brewers lock horns with the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium.
The Cardinals will start Andre Pallante (10-5, 3.60 ERA), up against Logan Henderson (2-1, 2.74 ERA) for the Brewers.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Brewers a slight edge with a 54.7% win probability over the Cardinals.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's Brewers vs. Cardinals matchup, including best bets and picks.
Brewers vs. Cardinals prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's MLB matchup between the Brewers and Cardinals, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Brewers a 54.7% chance of defeating the Cardinals.
According to our model, the Cardinals (+1.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 51.9% chance of going over,.
Brewers vs. Cardinals odds [7/9/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Brewers | Cardinals |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+133) | +1.5 (-133) |
| Moneyline | -122 | +120 |
| Total | o8.5 (+100) | u8.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Brewers vs. Cardinals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Cardinals +1.5 | novig-133 |
| Moneyline | Cardinals | novig+120 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | polymarket+100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Brewers vs. Cardinals game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Cardinals and Brewers at Busch Stadium is scheduled to commence at 7:45 PM ET.
- Who: Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 7:45 PM ET/4:45PM PT
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Brewers, with a 54.7% win probability, will likely beat the Cardinals in Thursday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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