Jun 1, 2026
Storm vs. Wings prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 18 points in Monday's WNBA game [6/1/2026]
Read Article Lynx vs. Mercury prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [6/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Phoenix Mercury predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Phoenix Mercury will square off with the Minnesota Lynx in WNBA action at Mortgage Matchup Center on Monday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Mercury game.
The Mercury, with the likes of Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas and Jovana Nogic, will face off against the Lynx, who feature Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Olivia Miles.
This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Monday's WNBA game between the Lynx and Mercury, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lynx a 63% chance of defeating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Lynx (-2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 166.5 points has a 54% chance of staying under.
Lynx vs. Mercury odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -2.5 (-110) | +2.5 (+100) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +130 |
| Total | o166.5 (-108) | u166.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Mercury picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Lynx -2.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Lynx | -148 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Lynx to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Mercury player props
Looking for Minnesota vs. Phoenix WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 16 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to have 18 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.
For early game action, the data identifies Natasha Howard as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 16 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 30 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Olivia Miles | 14 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 33 |
| Natasha Howard | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
Mercury prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 18 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 29 |
| Alyssa Thomas | 16 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 48 |
| Jovana Nogic | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 |
| M. Akoa-Makani | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 20 |
Lynx vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Mercury and Lynx at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Monday, June 1, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
$0 for 3 days
then $14.99/week
Already a Pro member? Log in
New here? See everything Pro includes
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
Advertiser disclosure
