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Twins vs. Mets prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for Thursday's MLB matchup [4/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Twins vs New York Mets predictions for MLB Thursday.
The New York Mets will square off with the Minnesota Twins, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Citi Field on Thursday, commencing at 7:10 PM ET.
The Mets will have Christian Scott (0-0, 0.00 ERA) as their starting pitcher, while the Twins have opted for Joe Ryan (2-2, 3.29 ERA).
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Twins-Mets matchup.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's Twins vs. Mets matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Mets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's MLB game between the Twins and Mets, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Twins and Mets a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 7.5 runs has a 54% chance of going over.
Twins vs. Mets odds [4/23/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Mets |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | -1.5 (+146) | +1.5 (-175) |
| Moneyline | -118 | +100 |
| Total | o7.5 (-110) | u7.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Mets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +100 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | -110 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Mets game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's MLB matchup between the Mets and Twins at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets
- Date: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Time: 7:10 PM ET/4:10PM PT
- Venue: Citi Field
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Twins and Mets on Thursday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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