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Vikings vs. Cowboys prediction: Dallas favored to win ‘SNF’ Week 15 [2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Minnesota Vikings vs Dallas Cowboys predictions for NFL Sunday.
The Dallas Cowboys will face the Minnesota Vikings in NFL Week 15 action at AT&T Stadium on Sunday, commencing at 8:20PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NFL model predicts the Cowboys as the most likely winner of the Vikings vs. Cowboys game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected touchdown scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Vikings vs. Cowboys prediction: Who will win ‘Sunday Night Football’?
Since our Vikings-Cowboys predictions earlier in the week, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NFL matchup between the Vikings and Cowboys 10,000 times as part of our NFL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Cowboys a 67% chance of defeating the Vikings in Week 15 of the NFL season. Our predicted final score has the Cowboys winning 26-21.
According to our model, the Vikings (+5.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the 47.5-point over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
To see win probabilities for every matchup this week, check out our expert NFL Week 15 straight up picks.
Vikings vs. Cowboys odds
We have sourced the best NFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Vikings | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 (-110) | -5.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +215 | -235 |
| Total | o47.5 (-110) | u47.5 (-102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Vikings vs. Cowboys picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Vikings +5.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Vikings | +215 |
| Total | Under 47.5 | -102 |
According to our NFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Vikings to win.
Vikings vs. Cowboys TD scorers
Who will score a touchdown in Vikings vs. Cowboys?
According to our list of touchdown scorer predictions for Week 15, Javonte Williams is most likely to score an anytime touchdown in Vikings vs. Cowboys.
Our projections give Williams a 51.6% chance of scoring a TD at AT&T Stadium, while the running back is a 12.5% chance of scoring the first touchdown the game.
Anytime touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (WR) | 34.0% |
| Jordan Addison (WR) | 30.1% |
| Aaron Jones (RB) | 30.1% |
| Jordan Mason (RB) | 29.8% |
| T.J. Hockenson (TE) | 19.8% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | Anytime TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (RB) | 51.6% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 40.3% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 40.2% |
| Jake Ferguson (TE) | 35.8% |
| Ryan Flournoy (WR) | 16.4% |
First touchdown scorer predictions
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson (WR) | 7.1% |
| Jordan Addison (WR) | 6.1% |
| Aaron Jones (RB) | 6.1% |
| Jordan Mason (RB) | 6.0% |
| T.J. Hockenson (TE) | 3.8% |
Dallas Cowboys
| Player | First TD Probability |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams (RB) | 12.5% |
| George Pickens (WR) | 8.9% |
| CeeDee Lamb (WR) | 8.9% |
| Jake Ferguson (TE) | 7.6% |
| Ryan Flournoy (WR) | 3.1% |
Vikings vs Cowboys player props
Discover our predictions for the players likely to lead in passing, rushing and receiving yards for both the Vikings and Cowboys. Head to our NFL player projections page now to access a full list of player prop projections for every offensive player in this matchup and all other Week 15 games.
Quarterbacks
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Vikings' J.J. McCarthy is projected for 203 passing yards, while the Cowboys' Dak Prescott is expected to throw for a whopping 270 yards.
| Player | Proj. Pass Yards |
|---|---|
| J.J. McCarthy (MIN) | 203 |
| Dak Prescott (DAL) | 270 |
Vikings rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Aaron Jones | 52 |
| Jordan Mason | 43 |
| J.J. McCarthy | 18 |
Cowboys rushing
| Player | Proj. Rush Yards |
|---|---|
| Javonte Williams | 75 |
| Dak Prescott | 12 |
| Malik Davis | 11 |
Vikings receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | 68 |
| Jordan Addison | 50 |
| T.J. Hockenson | 30 |
| Jalen Nailor | 22 |
| Aaron Jones | 21 |
Cowboys receiving
| Player | Proj. Rec. Yards |
|---|---|
| CeeDee Lamb | 84 |
| George Pickens | 76 |
| Jake Ferguson | 41 |
| Ryan Flournoy | 25 |
| KaVontae Turpin | 16 |
Vikings vs. Cowboys game-day updates and essential details
The NFL Week 15 action between the Cowboys and Vikings at AT&T Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:20PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Vikings vs. Dallas Cowboys
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 8:20PM ET/5:20PM PT
- Venue: AT&T Stadium
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Conclusion
We predict the Cowboys, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Vikings in Week 15 of the NFL season.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Vikings vs. Cowboys insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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