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MLB picks today: Friday's MLB best bets include Dodgers vs. Rockies play [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Friday, April 17, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for April 17, 2026 are here, with Dodgers vs. Rockies and Reds vs. Twins among the top plays identified by our model across Friday’s MLB slate.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to uncover genuine betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [4/17, updated 1:32AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Friday, April 17, 2026.
Dodgers vs. Rockies over 9.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 7.1%
- Probability: 58.6%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Friday)
Our model has identified value on over 9.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Rockies at -106 odds. A 58.6% probability produces an edge of 7.1%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Reds vs. Twins over 7.5 runs (-105)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 56.6%
- Matchup: Reds vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
Reds vs. Twins over 7.5 runs carries a 5.4% edge and a probability of 56.6% at -105 odds, according to our model.
Orioles vs. Guardians over 8 runs (-102)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Friday)
Orioles vs. Guardians over 8 runs at -102 odds shows a 5.4% edge, supported by a 55.9% probability in simulations.
Tigers vs. Red Sox over 8 runs (-105)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 54.2%
- Matchup: Tigers vs. Red Sox (7:15PM ET, Friday)
A 3.0% edge and 54.2% probability make Tigers vs. Red Sox over 8 runs at a value play in the Tigers vs. Red Sox matchup, per our model.
Royals vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs (-105)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
Royals vs. Yankees over 8.5 runs at -105 odds presents a 2.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 54.1%.
Giants vs. Nationals over 8 runs (-105)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Matchup: Giants vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
Our model finds value on over 8 runs in Giants vs. Nationals at -105 odds, supported by an edge of 2.9%.
Rangers vs. Mariners over 6.5 runs (-108)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Friday)
Our model has uncovered value on Rangers vs. Mariners over 6.5 runs at -108 odds. A 54.8% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Padres vs. Angels over 8 runs (-103)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
A 2.4% edge on a 53.1% probability makes over 8 runs at -103 odds a solid value play in today's Padres vs. Angels matchup.
Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks over 8.5 runs (-102)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET, Friday)
Our model projects value on over 8.5 runs at -102 odds. A 52.7% probability produces a 2.2% edge, making the over the favorable side in Saturday’s matchup.
Diamondbacks -1.5 (+158)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 40.8%
- Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET, Friday)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Diamondbacks -1.5 at +158 odds shows a 40.8% probability and a 2.0% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Friday, 4/17/2026
As of 1:32AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers vs. Rockies | Over 9.5 Runs | -106 @ FanDuel | 7.1% | 58.6% |
| Reds vs. Twins | Over 7.5 Runs | -105 @ DraftKings | 5.4% | 56.6% |
| Orioles vs. Guardians | Over 8 Runs | -102 @ FanDuel | 5.4% | 55.9% |
| Tigers vs. Red Sox | Over 8 Runs | -105 @ BetMGM | 3.0% | 54.2% |
| Royals vs. Yankees | Over 8.5 Runs | -105 @ FanDuel | 2.9% | 54.1% |
| Giants vs. Nationals | Over 8 Runs | -105 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 54.1% |
| Rangers vs. Mariners | Over 6.5 Runs | -108 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 54.8% |
| Padres vs. Angels | Over 8 Runs | -103 @ DraftKings | 2.4% | 53.1% |
| Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks | Over 8.5 Runs | -102 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 52.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Diamondbacks | Diamondbacks -1.5 | +158 @ FanDuel | 2.0% | 40.8% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/17/2026]
- Mets vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
- Orioles vs. Guardians (6:10PM ET, Friday)
- Braves vs. Phillies (6:40PM ET, Friday)
- Giants vs. Nationals (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Rays vs. Pirates (6:45PM ET, Friday)
- Royals vs. Yankees (7:05PM ET, Friday)
- Tigers vs. Red Sox (7:15PM ET, Friday)
- Reds vs. Twins (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Cardinals vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Friday)
- Dodgers vs. Rockies (8:40PM ET, Friday)
- Padres vs. Angels (9:38PM ET, Friday)
- Blue Jays vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- White Sox vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET, Friday)
- Rangers vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET, Friday)
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 17, 2026, featuring plays such as over 9.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Rockies matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Reds vs. Twins matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are drawn from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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