MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Braves vs. Cardinals play [7/12/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Sunday, July 12, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 12, 2026 are here, with Braves vs. Cardinals and Red Sox vs. Mets among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s MLB schedule.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to discover real betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/12, updated 1:09AM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, July 12, 2026.
Braves vs. Cardinals Over 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 6.4%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Matchup: Braves vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 8.5 runs in Braves vs. Cardinals at +113 odds. A 53.3% probability produces an edge of 6.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Mets +1.5 (-144)
- Edge: 6.1%
- Probability: 65.1%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
Mets +1.5 carries a 6.1% edge and a probability of 65.1% at -144 odds, according to our model.
Mets ML (+113)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 52.9%
- Matchup: Red Sox vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)
Mets ML at +113 odds shows a 6.0% edge, supported by a 52.9% probability in simulations.
Astros vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs (-104)
- Edge: 5.3%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Matchup: Astros vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET)
A 5.3% edge and 56.2% probability make Astros vs. Rangers over 8.5 runs a value play in the Astros vs. Rangers matchup, per our model.
Rockies vs. Giants Over 8.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 55.8%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET)
Rockies vs. Giants Over 8.5 runs at -106 odds presents a 4.3% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 55.8%.
Angels vs. Twins Over 8.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 57.1%
- Matchup: Angels vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Angels vs. Twins at -113 odds, supported by an edge of 4.1%.
Mariners ML (+122)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 48.7%
- Matchup: Mariners vs. Rays (1:40PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Mariners-Rays to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at +122 odds. A 48.7% probability produces a 3.6% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Royals vs. Orioles Over 9.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 53.6%
- Matchup: Royals vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET)
A 3.6% edge on a 53.6% probability makes Over 9.5 runs at +100 odds a solid value play in today's Royals vs. Orioles matchup.
Brewers vs. PiratesOver 6.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 57.5%
- Matchup: Brewers vs. Pirates (12:15PM ET)
Our model projects value on Over 6.5 runs at -120 odds. A 57.5% probability produces a 2.9% edge, making the Over the favorable side in today's matchup.
Diamondbacks +1.5 (+104)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Diamondbacks +1.5 at +104 odds shows a 51.8% probability and a 2.8% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 7/12/2026
As of 1:09AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Over 8.5 runs | +113 @ Novig | 6.4% | 53.3% |
| Red Sox vs. Mets | Mets +1.5 | -144 @ Novig | 6.1% | 65.1% |
| Red Sox vs. Mets | Mets ML | +113 @ Polymarket | 6.0% | 52.9% |
| Astros vs. Rangers | Over 8.5 runs | -104 @ Polymarket | 5.3% | 56.2% |
| Rockies vs. Giants | Over 8.5 Runs | -106 @ Novig | 4.3% | 55.8% |
| Angels vs. Twins | Over 8.5 Runs | -113 @ Polymarket | 4.1% | 57.1% |
| Mariners vs. Rays | Mariners ML | +122 @ Polymarket | 3.6% | 48.7% |
| Royals vs. Orioles | Over 9.5 Runs | +100 @ Polymarket | 3.6% | 53.6% |
| Brewers vs. Pirates | Over 6.5 Runs | -120 @ Fanatics | 2.9% | 57.5% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers | Diamondbacks +1.5 | +104 @ Novig | 2.8% | 51.8% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/12/2026]
- Brewers vs. Pirates (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Royals vs. Orioles (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Yankees vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Phillies vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Cubs vs. Reds (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Mariners vs. Rays (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Guardians vs. Marlins (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Red Sox vs. Mets (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Athletics vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Angels vs. Twins (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Braves vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Astros vs. Rangers (2:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rockies vs. Giants (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
- Blue Jays vs. Padres (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- D-Backs vs. Dodgers (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 12, 2026, featuring plays such as over 8.5 runs in the Braves vs. Cardinals matchup and Mets +1.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
