MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks play [7/19/2026]
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Sunday, July 19, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for July 19, 2026 are here, with Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks and Pirates vs. Guardians among the top plays identified by our model across Sunday’s MLB play.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, going over the latest baseball odds to find legitimate betting edges. The result? Data-backed picks that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets today [7/19, updated 12:08PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s top 10 baseball bets, ranked by edge for Sunday, July 19, 2026.
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks Over 9.5 runs (+127)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 51.4%
- Matchup: Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks (4:10PM ET)
Our model has identified value on Over 9.5 runs in Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks at +127 odds. A 51.4% probability produces an edge of 7.4%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Pirates vs. Guardians Over 7.5 runs (+144)
- Edge: 7.2%
- Probability: 48.2%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET)
Pirates vs. Guardians over 7.5 runs carries a 7.2% edge and a probability of 48.2% at +144 odds, according to our model.
Dodgers vs. Yankees Over 7.5 runs (-110)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Matchup: Dodgers vs. Yankees (7:20PM ET)
Dodgers vs. Yankees Over 7.5 runs at -110 odds shows a 6.7% edge, supported by a 59.1% probability in simulations.
Twins vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Matchup: Twins vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET)
A 6.2% edge and 56.2% probability make Twins vs. Cubs over 7.5 runs a value play in the Twins vs. Cubs matchup, per our model.
Rangers vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs (-113)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Matchup: Rangers vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)
Rangers vs. Braves Over 8.5 runs at -113 odds presents a 6.0% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 59.1%.
Orioles vs. Astros Over 8.5 runs (+100)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 56%
- Matchup: Orioles vs. Astros (2:10PM ET)
Our model finds value on Over 8.5 runs in Orioles vs. Astros at +100 odds, supported by an edge of 6.0%.
Padres vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs (-106)
- Edge: 5.7%
- Probability: 57.2%
- Matchup: Padres vs. Royals (2:10PM ET)
Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Royals Over 9.5 runs at -106 odds. A 57.2% probability produces a 5.7% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.
Reds vs. Rockies Over 11.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 5.4%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Matchup: Reds vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET)
A 5.4% edge on a 52.3% probability makes Over 11.5 runs at +113 odds a solid value play in today's Reds vs. Rockies matchup.
Athletics ML (+135)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 47.8%
- Matchup: Nationals vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)
Our model projects value on Athletics to win at +135 odds. A 47.8% probability produces a 5.2% edge, making Athletics the favorable ML play in today's matchup.
Marlins vs. Brewers Over 8.5 runs (+113)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 52.1%
- Matchup: Marlins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)
Rounding out our top 10 bets, Marlins vs. Brewers Over 8.5 runs at +113 odds shows a 52.1% probability and a 5.1% edge.
MLB best bets summary: Sunday, 7/19/2026
As of 12:08PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks | Over 9.5 runs | +127 @ Polymarket | 7.4% | 51.4% |
| Pirates vs. Guardians | Over 7.5 runs | +144 @ Polymarket | 7.2% | 48.2% |
| Dodgers vs. Yankees | Over 7.5 Runs | -110 @ DraftKings | 6.7% | 59.1% |
| Twins vs. Cubs | Over 7.5 runs | +100 @ Polymarket | 6.2% | 56.2% |
| Rangers vs. Braves | Over 8.5 Runs | -113 @ Novig | 6.0% | 59.1% |
| Orioles vs. Astros | Over 8.5 Runs | +100 @ Novig | 6.0% | 56% |
| Padres vs. Royals | Over 9.5 Runs | -106 @ BetRivers | 5.7% | 57.2% |
| Reds vs. Rockies | Over 11.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 5.4% | 52.3% |
| Nationals vs. Athletics | Athletics ML | +135 @ Polymarket | 5.2% | 47.8% |
| Marlins vs. Brewers | Over 8.5 Runs | +113 @ Polymarket | 5.1% | 52.1% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [7/19/2026]
- White Sox vs. Blue Jays (12:15PM ET, Sunday)
- Mets vs. Phillies (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rays vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Rangers vs. Braves (1:35PM ET, Sunday)
- Pirates vs. Guardians (1:40PM ET, Sunday)
- Orioles vs. Astros (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Padres vs. Royals (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Marlins vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Twins vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Sunday)
- Reds vs. Rockies (3:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Nationals vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET, Sunday)
- Tigers vs. Angels (4:07PM ET, Sunday)
- Giants vs. Mariners (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Cardinals vs. D-Backs (4:10PM ET, Sunday)
- Dodgers vs. Yankees (7:20PM ET, Sunday)
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Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for July 19, 2026, featuring plays such as over 9.5 runs in the Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Guardians matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
