Free MLB picks today: Sunday's MLB best bets include two over/under plays [10/5/2025]

Today’s free MLB picks for October 5, 2025 are here, with Sunday’s MLB best bets driven by thousands of data simulations analyzing the latest odds and matchups.

These MLB best bets include matchups like Tigers vs. Mariners and Yankees vs. Blue Jays, with this article updated throughout the day to feature the highest-probability plays based on thousands of data-driven simulations from our predictive analytics model.

But if you're serious about long-term profit, it's not just about probability—it's about edge. To unlock our highest-edge MLB bets—the ones with true long-term value—join Dimers Pro.

Pro members get unlimited access to everything Dimers has to offer on Sunday, October 5, 2025, including our full set of picks and best bets for today and the week ahead.

List of MLB best bets today [10/5, updated 4:01PM ET]

After diving deep into the numbers and running thousands of simulations, our leading predictive analytics model has figured out the best baseball bets for Sunday, October 5, 2025.

Tigers vs. Mariners over 5.5 runs (-114)

• Probability: 66.2%
• Edge: 12.9%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Mariners (8:03PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has pinpointed a high-probability MLB betting opportunity today, which comes in the Tigers vs. Mariners matchup. We recommend an over/under bet on over 5.5 runs at -114 odds, with our analysis showing a 66.2% chance of hitting and a compelling edge of 12.9%.

Yankees vs. Blue Jays over 7.5 runs (-118)

• Probability: 66.1%
• Edge: 12.0%
• Matchup: Yankees vs. Blue Jays (4:08PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has found another strong MLB playoffs bet for Sunday's baseball action, this time in the matchup between the Yankees and Blue Jays. We suggest placing an over/under wager on over 7.5 runs at -118 odds, with a 66.1% probability delivering a 12.0% edge.

Mariners ML (+135)

• Probability: 44.7%
• Edge: 2.1%
• Matchup: Tigers vs. Mariners (8:03PM ET, Sunday)

Our model has found another strong MLB bet for today's baseball action, this time in the Tigers vs. Mariners matchup. We recommend a bet on Mariners ML at +135 odds. Our projections shows a 44.7% probability and 2.1% edge for this wager.

MLB Playoffs best bets: Sunday, 10/5/2025

As of 4:01PM ET, here are our top three MLB bets by probability recommended by our model:

Matchup	Bet	Odds	Probability	Edge
Tigers vs. Mariners	Over 5.5 Runs	-114 @ DraftKings	66.2%	12.9%
Yankees vs. Blue Jays	Over 7.5 Runs	-118 @ FanDuel	66.1%	12.0%
Tigers vs. Mariners	Mariners ML	+135 @ BetMGM	44.7%	2.1%

Dimers Pro unlocks instant access to the most valuable bets across all sports, powered by our advanced predictive model.

Today, Dimers Pro subscribers have access to three MLB picks—with access to all of these being what makes a difference over time.

Join Dimers Pro now to access these picks, as well as a comprehensive range of props, trends and parlays for October 5, 2025.

List of upcoming MLB postseason games to bet on [10/5/2025]

• Yankees vs. Blue Jays (4:08PM ET, Sunday)
• Tigers vs. Mariners (8:03PM ET, Sunday)

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More on MLB

The bets on this page form part of our MLB player props and MLB best bets series.

For more MLB betting content, we have MLB trends for every game, as well as daily MLB betting news and the latest World Series odds and predictions.

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for October 5, 2025, featuring plays such as over 5.5 runs in the Tigers vs. Mariners matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

This article, enhanced by AI and automation, aims to deliver accurate MLB insights quickly, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.

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