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MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Pirates vs. Cubs play [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get MLB picks today and best bets for Thursday, April 9, 2026.
Today’s MLB picks for April 09, 2026 are here, with Pirates vs. Cubs and Diamondbacks vs. Mets among the top plays identified by our model across Thursday’s MLB action.
Dimers’ predictive analytics engine runs 24/7, scanning the latest baseball odds to unearth top betting edges. The result? Data-backed plays that help Dimers Pro members make smarter decisions.
List of MLB best bets tonight [4/9, updated 4:32PM ET]
Below, you’ll find today’s best baseball bets, ranked by edge for Thursday, April 9, 2026.
Pirates vs. Cubs over 6.5 runs (-120)
- Edge: 4.6%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Matchup: Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
Our model has identified value on over 6.5 runs in Pirates vs. Cubs at -120 odds. A 59.1% probability produces an edge of 4.6%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.
Diamondbacks vs. Mets over 6.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 56.4%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
Diamondbacks vs. Mets over 6.5 runs carries a 2.9% edge and a probability of 56.4% at -115 odds, according to our model.
Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs (-115)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 56.3%
- Matchup: Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
Rockies vs. Padres over 7.5 runs at -115 odds shows a 2.9% edge, supported by a 56.3% probability in simulations.
Diamondbacks ML (+160)
- Edge: 2.0%
- Probability: 39.9%
- Matchup: Diamondbacks vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
A 2.0% edge and 39.9% probability make Diamondbacks at the moneyline at a value play in the Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup, per our model.
MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 4/9/2026
As of 4:32PM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:
| Matchup | Bet | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates vs. Cubs | Over 6.5 Runs | -120 @ FanDuel | 4.6% | 59.1% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Mets | Over 6.5 Runs | -115 @ DraftKings | 2.9% | 56.4% |
| Rockies vs. Padres | Over 7.5 Runs | -115 @ FanDuel | 2.9% | 56.3% |
| Diamondbacks vs. Mets | Diamondbacks ML | +160 @ FanDuel | 2.0% | 39.9% |
List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [4/9/2026]
- D-Backs vs. Mets (7:10PM ET, Thursday)
- White Sox vs. Royals (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Rockies vs. Padres (9:40PM ET, Thursday)
- Pirates vs. Cubs (2:20PM ET, Friday)
Meet Dimebot, Dimers’ AI assistant
See how you can use Dimebot to ask questions, clarify data, and streamline your betting research.
Conclusion
Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for April 9, 2026, featuring plays such as over 6.5 runs in the Pirates vs. Cubs matchup and over 6.5 runs in the Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.
Our predictions are sourced from current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.
All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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