MLB picks today: Thursday's MLB best bets include Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks play [6/4/2026]

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks over 9.5 runs (+106)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Our model has identified value on over 9.5 runs in Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks at +106 odds. A 54.5% probability produces an edge of 6.0%, making this the strongest play for today's MLB slate.

Blue Jays vs. Braves over 7.5 runs (+106)

• Edge: 6.0%
• Probability: 54.5%
• Matchup: Blue Jays vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Blue Jays vs. Braves over 7.5 runs carries a 6.0% edge and a probability of 54.5% at +106 odds, according to our model.

Royals vs. Twins over 9.5 runs (+120)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Matchup: Royals vs. Twins (7:40PM ET)

Royals vs. Twins over 9.5 runs at +120 odds shows a 4.8% edge, supported by a 50.3% probability in simulations.

Yankees -1.5 (+135)

• Edge: 4.3%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

A 4.3% edge and 46.8% probability make Yankees -1.5 vs. Guardians at a value play in the Guardians vs. Yankees matchup, per our model.

Yankees ML (-153)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 64.5%
• Matchup: Guardians vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)

Yankees ML at -153 odds presents a 3.9% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 64.5%.

Giants +1.5 (-106)

• Edge: 3.6%
• Probability: 55.1%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

Our model finds value on Giants +1.5 at -106 odds, supported by an edge of 3.6%.

Padres vs. Phillies over 7.5 runs (-115)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Matchup: Padres vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Padres vs. Phillies over 7.5 runs at -115 odds. A 56.8% probability produces a 3.3% edge, making this a strong play for today's MLB action.

Giants ML (+174)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 39.5%
• Matchup: Giants vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET)

A 3.1% edge on a 39.5% probability makes Giants to win at +174 odds a solid value play in today's Giants vs. Brewers matchup.

Orioles vs. Red Sox over 10.5 runs (+106)

• Edge: 3.1%
• Probability: 51.6%
• Matchup: Orioles vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET)

Our model projects value on over 10.5 runs at +106 odds. A 51.6% probability produces a 3.1% edge, making the over the favorable side in today's matchup.

Diamondbacks ML (+135)

• Edge: 2.9%
• Probability: 45.3%
• Matchup: Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks (9:40PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Diamondbacks to defeat Dodgers at +135 odds shows a 45.3% probability and a 2.9% edge.

MLB best bets summary: Thursday, 6/4/2026

As of 5:33AM ET, here are our top MLB bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming MLB games to bet on [6/4/2026]

• Padres vs. Phillies (1:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Guardians vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
• Orioles vs. Red Sox (1:35PM ET, Thursday)
• Giants vs. Brewers (2:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Blue Jays vs. Braves (7:15PM ET, Thursday)
• Royals vs. Twins (7:40PM ET, Thursday)
• Athletics vs. Cubs (8:05PM ET, Thursday)
• Pirates vs. Astros (8:10PM ET, Thursday)
• Dodgers vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET, Thursday)

Conclusion

Our MLB best bets are locked and loaded for June 4, 2026, featuring plays such as over 9.5 runs in the Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks matchup and over 7.5 runs in the Blue Jays vs. Braves matchup. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are grounded in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.