Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Friday has +548 odds [7/10/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.0% chance to go yard, followed by Yordan Alvarez (21.3%) and Kyle Schwarber (19.1%).

Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Friday's home run picks [7/10/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 18.1%
• Odds: +548
• Edge: 2.6%
• Game: D-Backs vs. Dodgers (10:10 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Eduardo Rodriguez

Ranked among today’s top 10 home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +548 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.6% edge.

Against D-Backs starter Eduardo Rodriguez, the data supports Tucker as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 10, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Yordan Alvarez and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.6% edge at +548 odds.

Dive into more MLB player projections with our list of Friday's top 10 pitchers by projected strikeouts

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