Jun 15, 2026
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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +1020 pick for Monday [6/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Monday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Monday, June 15, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Monday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for June 15, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1020.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 23.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 22.7% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 21.2% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 21.1% |
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 20.5% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 19.2% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.1% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 19.1% |
| Seiya Suzuki (Cubs) | 17.8% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 17.7% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 23.6% chance to go yard, followed by Nick Kurtz (22.7%) and Shea Langeliers (21.2%).
Kyle Schwarber and Eugenio Suarez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Monday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Monday's home run picks [6/15/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Gabriel Rincones Jr. (Phillies) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.2%
- Odds: +1020
- Edge: 2.3%
- Game: Marlins vs. Phillies (6:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ryan Gusto
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Philadelphia slugger Gabriel Rincones Jr. rates as a value play at +1020 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.3% edge.
Against Marlins starter Ryan Gusto, the data supports Jr. as one of Monday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 15, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Nick Kurtz and Shea Langeliers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Gabriel Rincones Jr. who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +1020 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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