May 30, 2026
Cubs vs. Cardinals prediction: Cubs favored to win Saturday's MLB matchup [5/30/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions for Saturday include Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber [5/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Saturday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Saturday, May 30, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Saturday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which highlight the top home run bets today.
Home run predictions for May 30, 2026
See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +1000.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 24.7% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 20.6% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.6% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 19.9% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.2% |
| Ben Rice (Yankees) | 18.9% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.8% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 18.8% |
| Yordan Alvarez (Astros) | 18.6% |
| Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) | 18.2% |
Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 24.7% chance to go yard, followed by Shohei Ohtani (20.6%) and Nick Kurtz (20.6%).
Hunter Goodman and Kyle Schwarber are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Saturday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Saturday's home run picks [5/30/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, identifies today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Brett Baty (Mets) to hit a home run
- Probability: 11.9%
- Odds: +1000
- Edge: 2.8%
- Game: Marlins vs. Mets (4:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Tyler Phillips
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, New York slugger Brett Baty rates as a value play at +1000 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.8% edge.
With Tyler Phillips on the mound for the Marlins, the data supports Baty as one of Saturday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of seven home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 30, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Brett Baty who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.8% edge at +1000 odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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