Home run predictions for Thursday include Kyle Schwarber, Pete Alonso [7/9/2026]

Our analysis shows Schwarber leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.3% chance to go yard, followed by Juan Soto (19.7%) and Cal Raleigh (19.3%).

Pete Alonso and Francisco Alvarez are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Thursday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Thursday's home run picks [7/9/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Christian Yelich (Brewers) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.7%
• Odds: fanatics+1000
• Edge: 2.6%
• Game: Brewers vs. Cardinals (7:45 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: Andre Pallante

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Milwaukee slugger Christian Yelich rates as a value play at +1000 with fanatics, showing a 2.6% edge.

Set to face Andre Pallante in tonight's Brewers-Cardinals matchup, the data supports Yelich as one of Thursday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 9, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Kyle Schwarber, Juan Soto and Cal Raleigh projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Christian Yelich who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.6% edge at +1000 odds.

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