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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +920 pick for Dinger Tuesday [6/23/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today guided by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, June 23, 2026, feature Eugenio Suarez as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections come from our home run predictions, which highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 23, 2026
See which hitters join Suarez on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +920.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (Reds) | 22.3% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 20.2% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 19.7% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 19.5% |
| Wilyer Abreu (Red Sox) | 19.4% |
| Willson Contreras (Red Sox) | 18.2% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 18.2% |
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 17.8% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.6% |
| JJ Bleday (Reds) | 16.9% |
Our analysis shows Suarez leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 22.3% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (20.2%) and Kyle Schwarber (19.7%).
Pete Alonso and Wilyer Abreu are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [6/23/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Masataka Yoshida (Red Sox) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.7%
- Odds: +920
- Edge: 2.9%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Rockies (8:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Sean Sullivan
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Boston slugger Masataka Yoshida rates as a value play at +920 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.9% edge.
Against Rockies starter Sean Sullivan, the data supports Yoshida as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a weekly tradition where bettors focus on home run value plays across the slate.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to a total of five home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 23, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Eugenio Suarez, Shohei Ohtani and Kyle Schwarber projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Masataka Yoshida who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.9% edge at +920 odds.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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