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Home run predictions for Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [4/15/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today backed by expert analysis of Wednesday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for April 15, 2026, are based on Wednesday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, April 15, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Wednesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top home run picks today.

Home run predictions for April 15, 2026

See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +395.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 33.4%
Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) 31.0%
Ben Rice (Yankees) 25.9%
Jazz Chisholm (Yankees) 24.9%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 24.1%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 23.6%
Trent Grisham (Yankees) 22.8%
Eugenio Suarez (Reds) 22.6%
Shea Langeliers (Athletics) 22.1%
Austin Wells (Yankees) 22.0%

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 33.4% chance to go yard, followed by Giancarlo Stanton (31.0%) and Ben Rice (25.9%).

Jazz Chisholm and Nick Kurtz are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Aaron Judge 2026.
Aaron Judge features in today's home run predictions on Wednesday, April 15, 2026.

Wednesday's home run picks [4/15/2026]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and weighing key factors like weather and pitching form, Dimers Pro’s data highlights today’s top home run prop.

Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 29.5%
  • Odds: +395
  • Edge: 9.3%
  • Game: Angels vs. Yankees (7:05 PM EDT)
  • Pitching matchup: Jack Kochanowicz

Ranked among today’s top three home run projections, New York slugger Giancarlo Stanton rates as a value play at +395 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 9.3% edge.

Against Angels starter Jack Kochanowicz, the data supports Stanton as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to a total of nine home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For April 15, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Ben Rice projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Stanton in particular emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 9.3% edge at +395 odds.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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