Home run predictions for Wednesday include Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker [7/1/2026]

Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.3% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Tucker (19.8%) and Pete Alonso (19.6%).

Ben Rice and Kyle Stowers are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Wednesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wednesday's home run picks [7/1/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro identifies today’s top home run prop.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (D-Backs) to hit a home run

• Probability: 11.2%
• Odds: +1020
• Edge: 2.3%
• Game: Giants vs. D-Backs (9:40 PM EDT)
• Pitching matchup: N/A

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Arizona slugger Lourdes Gurriel Jr. rates as a value play at +1020 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.3% edge.

With N/A on the mound for the Giants, the data supports Jr. as one of Wednesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For July 1, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Tucker and Pete Alonso projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Lourdes Gurriel Jr. who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.3% edge at +1020 odds.

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