Home run predictions for Wild Card Wednesday include Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton [10/1/2025]

Our MLB home run predictions for Wednesday, October 1, 2025, are in—with Aaron Judge leading the list based on the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Wednesday's Wild Card HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for October 1, 2025

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.4% chance to go deep, followed by Shohei Ohtani (25.3%) and Giancarlo Stanton (24.2%).

Max Muncy and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10. Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Wednesday? Join Dimers Pro now.

Already a Dimers Pro member? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Wild Card Wednesday's home run picks [10/1/2025]

After running 10,000 simulations per matchup and assessing key variables like weather and pitching matchups, Dimers Pro has identified one of the best MLB home run props today.

Giancarlo Stanton (Yankees) to hit a home run

• Probability: 23.9%
• Odds: +412
• Edge: 4.3%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Yankees (6:08PM ET)
• Pitching matchup: Brayan Bello

Ranked as one of the top three most likely players in today's home run predictions, New York slugger Giancarlo Stanton offers serious value at +412 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing an edge of 4.3%—making him one of the strongest home run bets today.

With Brayan Bello on the mound for the Red Sox, factoring in both projection edge and odds, Stanton has emerged as the one of the best home run picks today on Wednesday's slate.

For more expert MLB picks and data-driven MLB predictions, join Dimers Pro now. Pro users get full access to a total of 59 home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

MLB Wild Card schedule for today [Wednesday, October 1, 2025]

• Tigers vs. Guardians (1:08PM ET, Wednesday)
• Padres vs. Cubs (3:08PM ET, Wednesday)
• Red Sox vs. Yankees (6:08PM ET, Wednesday)
• Reds vs. Dodgers (9:08PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

For October 1, 2025, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Shohei Ohtani and Giancarlo Stanton projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. Stanton in particular stands out as the best value bet, offering a favorable 4.3% edge at +412 odds.

These insights are based on 10,000 game simulations and are designed to help you identify smarter betting opportunities. As always, gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know needs support, call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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