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MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include German Marquez [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for April 25, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of German Marquez, Jose Quintana and Mike Burrows.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Padres vs. D-Backs and Yankees vs. Astros, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Saturday, 4/25
Below are the top ten MLB player props for April 25, ranked by probability.
German Marquez over 2.5 strikeouts (-155)
- Edge: 9.1%
- Probability: 69.9%
- Game: Padres vs. D-Backs (6:05PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on San Diego's German Marquez over 2.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.9% gives this play an edge of 9.1% at -155 odds.
Jose Quintana over 2.5 strikeouts (-152)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 68.0%
- Game: Rockies vs. Mets (4:10PM ET)
Jose Quintana’s strikeouts prop shows a 68.0% probability and an 7.7% edge at -152 odds, according to our model.
Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts (-112)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Game: Yankees vs. Astros (7:10PM ET)
The data highlights value on Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 61.2% probability and an 8.4% edge at -112.
Ezequiel Duran to get a hit (-120)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Ezequiel Duran to get a hit, with a 57.6% probability and an edge of 3.0% at -120 odds.
Bailey Ober over 4.5 strikeouts (+110)
- Edge: 8.3%
- Probability: 55.9%
- Game: Twins vs. Rays (4:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Bailey Ober over 4.5 strikeouts for Minnesota, showing an edge of 8.3% at +110 odds.
Alex Freeland to get a hit (-105)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Game: Cubs vs. Dodgers (7:15PM ET)
Alex Freeland’s to get a hit prop shows an edge of 4.3% at -105 odds, supported by a 55.6% probability according to our model.
Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts (-108)
- Edge: 3.6%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Game: Mariners vs. Cardinals (2:15PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, with a 55.6% probability and a 3.6% edge at -108 odds.
Juan Soto over 1.5 bases (+117)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 53.3%
- Game: Rockies vs. Mets (4:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Juan Soto over 1.5 bases, supported by a 53.3% probability at +117 odds and an edge of 7.3%.
Mark Vientos over 1.5 bases (+129)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 51.8%
- Game: Rockies vs. Mets (4:10PM ET)
An 8.1% edge on the over 1.5 bases line makes Mark Vientos a value play in Rockies vs. Mets, supported by a 51.8% probability at +129 odds.
Jeffrey Springs under 4.5 strikeouts (+119)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 49.4%
- Game: Athletics vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)
Simulations show value on Jeffrey Springs under 4.5 strikeouts here, with a 49.4% probability and 3.7% edge at +119 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, April 25, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:11AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Padres vs. D-Backs | German Marquez over 2.5 strikeouts | -155 @ DraftKings | 9.1% | 69.9% |
| Rockies vs. Mets | Jose Quintana over 2.5 strikeouts | -152 @ DraftKings | 7.7% | 68.0% |
| Yankees vs. Astros | Mike Burrows under 5.5 strikeouts | -112 @ DraftKings | 3.0% | 57.6% |
| Athletics vs. Rangers | Ezequiel Duran to get a hit | -120 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 57.6% |
| Twins vs. Rays | Bailey Ober over 4.5 strikeouts | +110 @ DraftKings | 8.3% | 55.9% |
| Cubs vs. Dodgers | Alex Freeland to get a hit | -105 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 55.6% |
| Mariners vs. Cardinals | Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts | -108 @ FanDuel | 3.6% | 55.6% |
| Rockies vs. Mets | Juan Soto over 1.5 bases | +117 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 53.3% |
| Rockies vs. Mets | Mark Vientos over 1.5 bases | +129 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 51.8% |
| Athletics vs. Rangers | Jeffrey Springs under 4.5 strikeouts | +119 @ DraftKings | 3.7% | 49.4% |
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Conclusion
For April 25, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as German Marquez, Jose Quintana and Mike Burrows. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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