MLB player props today: Saturday's best props include Ryan Johnson [7/11/2026]
Get MLB player props today with projections for Saturday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 11, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ryan Johnson, Javier Assad and Kumar Rocker.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Royals vs. Orioles and Cubs vs. Reds, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop bets for Saturday, 7/11
Sourced from 60+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 11, ranked by probability.
Ryan Johnson over 3.5 strikeouts (-148)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 69.5%
- Game: Angels vs. Twins (2:10PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on LA Angels' Ryan Johnson over 3.5 strikeouts. A probability of 69.5% gives this play an edge of 9.8% at -148 odds.
Javier Assad over 3.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 9.5%
- Probability: 66.0%
- Game: Cubs vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
Javier Assad’s strikeouts prop shows a 66.0% probability and an 9.5% edge at -130 odds, according to our model.
Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts (-135)
- Edge: 6.0%
- Probability: 63.4%
- Game: Astros vs. Rangers (7:05PM ET)
The data highlights value on Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.4% probability and a 6.0% edge at -135.
Miles Mikolas under 3.5 strikeouts (-122)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 62.3%
- Game: Yankees vs. Nationals (4:05PM ET)
Our model finds value on Miles Mikolas under 3.5 strikeouts, with a 62.3% probability and an edge of 7.3% at -122 odds.
Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts (-109)
- Edge: 7.8%
- Probability: 60.0%
- Game: Braves vs. Cardinals (7:15PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts for St. Louis, showing an edge of 7.8% at -109 odds.
Tanner Bibee over 4.5 strikeouts (-125)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 58.1%
- Game: Guardians vs. Marlins (4:10PM ET)
Tanner Bibee’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 2.6% at -125 odds, supported by a 58.1% probability according to our model.
Derek Hill to get a hit (+102)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 57.9%
- Game: Phillies vs. Tigers (6:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Derek Hill to get a hit for Philadelphia, with a 57.9% probability and a 8.4% edge at +102 odds.
Miguel Amaya to get a hit (-123)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Game: Cubs vs. Reds (7:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Miguel Amaya to get a hit, supported by a 57.7% probability at -123 odds and an edge of 2.6%.
Sung-Mun Song over 0.5 bases (-110)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Padres (8:40PM ET)
A 4.3% edge on the over 0.5 bases line makes Sung-Mun Song a value play in Blue Jays vs. Padres, supported by a 56.7% probability at -110 odds.
Sung-Mun Song to get a hit (-115)
- Edge: 3.2%
- Probability: 56.7%
- Game: Blue Jays vs. Padres (8:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Sung-Mun Song to get a hit here, with a 56.7% probability and 3.2% edge at -115 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Saturday, July 11, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 12:25AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angels vs. Twins | Ryan Johnson over 3.5 strikeouts | -148 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 69.5% |
| Cubs vs. Reds | Javier Assad over 3.5 strikeouts | -130 @ FanDuel | 9.5% | 66.0% |
| Astros vs. Rangers | Kumar Rocker under 4.5 strikeouts | -135 @ DraftKings | 7.3% | 62.3% |
| Yankees vs. Nationals | Miles Mikolas under 3.5 strikeouts | -122 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 62.3% |
| Braves vs. Cardinals | Matthew Liberatore under 4.5 strikeouts | -109 @ DraftKings | 7.8% | 60.0% |
| Guardians vs. Marlins | Tanner Bibee over 4.5 strikeouts | -125 @ Fanatics | 2.6% | 58.1% |
| Phillies vs. Tigers | Derek Hill to get a hit | +102 @ DraftKings | 8.4% | 57.9% |
| Cubs vs. Reds | Miguel Amaya to get a hit | -123 @ DraftKings | 2.6% | 57.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Padres | Sung-Mun Song over 0.5 bases | -110 @ Fanatics | 4.3% | 56.7% |
| Blue Jays vs. Padres | Sung-Mun Song to get a hit | -115 @ Fanatics | 3.2% | 56.7% |
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Conclusion
For July 11, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ryan Johnson, Javier Assad and Kumar Rocker. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
