MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Eury Perez [5/17/2026]

Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts (-139)

• Edge: 8.5%
• Probability: 66.7%
• Game: Marlins vs. Rays (12:15PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Miami's Eury Perez under 5.5 strikeouts. A probability of 66.7% gives this play an edge of 8.5% at -139 odds.

Jeff McNeil to get a hit (-165)

• Edge: 3.4%
• Probability: 65.7%
• Game: Giants vs. Athletics (4:05PM ET)

Jeff McNeil’s to get a hit prop shows a 65.7% probability and an 3.4% edge at -165 odds, according to our model.

Brayan Bello over 3.5 strikeouts (-124)

• Edge: 8.6%
• Probability: 63.9%
• Game: Red Sox vs. Braves (1:35PM ET)

The data highlights value on Brayan Bello over 3.5 strikeouts, with simulations showing a 63.9% probability and an 8.6% edge at -124.

Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts (-134)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 63.8%
• Game: Yankees vs. Mets (1:40PM ET)

Our model finds value on Freddy Peralta under 6.5 strikeouts, with a 63.8% probability and an edge of 6.5% at -134 odds.

Jack Flaherty over 4.5 strikeouts (-125)

• Edge: 6.5%
• Probability: 62.1%
• Game: Blue Jays vs. Tigers (1:40PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Jack Flaherty over 4.5 strikeouts for Detroit, showing an edge of 6.5% at -125 odds.

Miles Mikolas over 13.5 outs recorded (-134)

• Edge: 3.9%
• Probability: 61.2%
• Game: Orioles vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)

Miles Mikolas’s outs recorded prop shows an edge of 3.9% at -134 odds, supported by a 61.2% probability according to our model.

Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded (-114)

• Edge: 7.5%
• Probability: 60.8%
• Game: Cubs vs. White Sox (2:10PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Colin Rea over 15.5 outs recorded for CHI Cubs, with a 60.8% probability and a 7.5% edge at -114 odds.

Brandon Young under 15.5 outs recorded (-115)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: Orioles vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)

The data shows value on Brandon Young under 15.5 outs recorded, supported by a 59.2% probability at -115 odds and an edge of 5.8%.

Pete Alonso over 1.5 bases (-116)

• Edge: 4.9%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Orioles vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)

A 4.9% edge on the over 15.5 bases line makes Pete Alonso a value play in Orioles vs. Nationals, supported by a 58.6% probability at -116 odds.

Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 bases (-114)

• Edge: 4.8%
• Probability: 58.1%
• Game: Orioles vs. Nationals (1:35PM ET)

Simulations show value on Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 bases here, with a 58.1% probability and 4.8% edge at -114 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Sunday, May 17, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 1:15AM ET:

Conclusion

For May 17, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Eury Perez, Jeff McNeil and Brayan Bello. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.