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Read Article MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Ian Seymour [7/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get MLB player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 2, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Ian Seymour, Bryce Miller and Stephen Kolek.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Cardinals vs. Braves and White Sox vs. Guardians, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Thursday, 7/2
Sourced from 80+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 2, ranked by probability.
Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded (-197)
- Edge: 4.7%
- Probability: 71.0%
- Game: Rays vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Tampa Bay's Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded. A probability of 71.0% gives this play an edge of 4.7% at -197 odds.
Bryce Miller over 0.5 walks allowed (-177)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 67.0%
- Game: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Bryce Miller’s walks allowed prop shows a 67.0% probability and an 3.1% edge at -177 odds, according to our model.
Ian Seymour over 4.5 hits allowed (-144)
- Edge: 6.2%
- Probability: 65.2%
- Game: Rays vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
The data highlights value on Ian Seymour over 4.5 hits allowed, with simulations showing a 65.2% probability and a 6.2% edge at -144.
Stephen Kolek under 6.5 hits allowed (-148)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 64.7%
- Game: Rays vs. Royals (7:40PM ET)
Our model finds value on Stephen Kolek under 6.5 hits allowed, with a 64.7% probability and an edge of 5.1% at -148 odds.
Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases (-125)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 63.0%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases for LA Dodgers, showing an edge of 7.4% at -125 odds.
Framber Valdez over 1.5 walks allowed (-137)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 61.6%
- Game: Tigers vs. Rangers (8:05PM ET)
Framber Valdez’s walks allowed prop shows an edge of 3.8% at -137 odds, supported by a 61.6% probability according to our model.
Randy Vásquez over 1.5 walks allowed (-127)
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 61.2%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Randy Vásquez over 1.5 walks allowed for San Diego, with a 61.2% probability and a 5.2% edge at -127 odds.
Dalton Rushing to get a hit (-130)
- Edge: 2.6%
- Probability: 59.2%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (10:10PM ET)
The data shows value on Dalton Rushing to get a hit, supported by a 59.2% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 2.6%.
Jimmy Crooks to get a hit (-125)
- Edge: 3.5%
- Probability: 59.1%
- Game: Cardinals vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)
A 3.5% edge on the to get a hit line makes Jimmy Crooks a value play in Cardinals vs. Braves, supported by a 59.1% probability at -125 odds.
Bryce Miller over 1.5 earned runs (+100)
- Edge: 9.0%
- Probability: 59.0%
- Game: Angels vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)
Simulations show value on Bryce Miller over 1.5 earned runs here, with a 59.0% probability and 9.0% edge at +100 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Thursday, July 2, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:56PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays vs. Royals | Ian Seymour over 14.5 outs recorded | -197 @ DraftKings | 4.7% | 71.0% |
| Angels vs. Mariners | Bryce Miller over 0.5 walks allowed | -177 @ DraftKings | 3.1% | 67.0% |
| Rays vs. Royals | Ian Seymour over 4.5 hits allowed | -144 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 64.7% |
| Rays vs. Royals | Stephen Kolek under 6.5 hits allowed | -148 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 64.7% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases | -125 @ BetMGM | 7.4% | 63.0% |
| Tigers vs. Rangers | Framber Valdez over 1.5 walks allowed | -137 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 61.6% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Randy Vásquez over 1.5 walks allowed | -127 @ DraftKings | 5.2% | 61.2% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Dalton Rushing to get a hit | -130 @ Fanatics | 2.6% | 59.2% |
| Cardinals vs. Braves | Jimmy Crooks to get a hit | -125 @ BetMGM | 3.5% | 59.1% |
| Angels vs. Mariners | Bryce Miller over 1.5 earned runs | +100 @ DraftKings | 9.0% | 59.0% |
Conclusion
For July 2, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Ian Seymour, Bryce Miller and Stephen Kolek. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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