Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Mets are favored to win Friday's MLB matchup [7/3/2026]
Get New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Friday.

MLB action continues on Friday at 7:15 PM ET as the New York Mets take on the Atlanta Braves at Truist Park.
The Braves will send Grant Holmes (4-4, 3.96 ERA) to the mound, pitting him against Christian Scott (2-0, 3.20 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mets a slight edge with a 51.6% win probability over the Braves.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Mets a 51.6% chance of defeating the Braves.
According to our model, the 9-run over/under has a 55.9% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Braves odds [7/3/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -101 | -108 |
| Total | o9 (-105) | u9 (-114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mets | -101 |
| Total | Over 9 | -105 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Friday's MLB action between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to commence at 7:15 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 7:15 PM ET/4:15PM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mets, with a 51.6% win probability, will likely beat the Braves in Friday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



