Murray State vs. Nevada prediction: Nevada favored to win NIT matchup [3/18/2026]

Nevada and Murray State will meet in the 2026 National Invitational Tournament at Lawlor Events Center on Wednesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced college basketball model projects Nevada as the most likely winner of the Murray State vs. Nevada game.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and picks.

Murray State vs. Nevada prediction: Who will win NIT matchup?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NCAA basketball game between Murray State and Nevada 10,000 times as part of our men's college basketball predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Nevada a 79% chance of beating Murray State. Our predicted final score has Nevada winning 82-73.

According to our model, Nevada (-8.5) has a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 158.5-point over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Murray State vs. Nevada odds

We have researched the best men's college basketball odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Murray State	Nevada
Spread	+8.5 (-105)	-8.5 (-110)
Moneyline	+340	-375
Total	o158.5 (-115)	u158.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Murray State vs. Nevada picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Nevada -8.5	-110
Moneyline	Nevada	-375
Total	Under 158.5	-105

According to our best men's college basketball bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 158.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Murray State vs. Nevada game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's men's college basketball matchup between Nevada and Murray State at Lawlor Events Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Murray State vs. Nevada
• Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Lawlor Events Center

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Conclusion

We predict Nevada, with a 79% win probability, will likely beat Murray State this men's National Invitational Tournament matchup.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Murray State vs. Nevada insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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